Purpose/Objectives
Existing definitions of high-risk prostate cancer comprise men who experience significant heterogeneity in outcomes. As such, criteria that identify a subpopulation of NCCN high-risk prostate cancer patients who are at very high risk (VHR) for poor survival outcomes following prostatectomy were recently developed at our institution and include the presence of any of the following disease characteristics: multiple NCCN high-risk factors, primary Gleason pattern 5 disease, and/or ≥5 biopsy cores with Gleason sum 8–10. Whether these criteria also apply to men undergoing definitive radiation is unclear, as is the optimal treatment regimen in these patients.
Methods and Materials
All men consecutively treated with definitive radiation by a single provider from 1993–2006 and who fulfilled criteria for NCCN high-risk disease were identified (n=288), including 99 (34%) patients with VHR disease. Multivariable-adjusted competing risk regression models were constructed to assess associations between the VHR definition and biochemical failure (BF), distant metastasis (DM), and prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM). Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analysis assessed the association of the VHR definition with overall mortality (OM). Cumulative incidences of failure endpoints were compared between VHR men and other NCCN high-risk men.
Results
Men with VHR disease as compared to other NCCN high-risk men experienced higher 10-year incidences of BF (54.0% vs. 35.4%, p<0.001), DM (34.9% vs. 13.4%, p<0.001), PCSM (18.5% vs. 5.9%, p<0.001), and OM (36.4% vs. 27.0%, p=0.04). VHR men with a detectable PSA at the end-of-radiation (EOR) remained at high risk of 10-year PCSM, as compared to VHR men with an undetectable EOR PSA (31.0% vs. 13.7%, p=0.05).
Conclusions
NCCN high-risk prostate cancer patients who meet VHR criteria experience distinctly worse outcomes following definitive radiation and long-term androgen deprivation therapy, particularly if an EOR PSA is detectable. Optimal use of local therapies for VHR patients should be further explored, as should novel agents.