Abstract:This study examine the predictive power of Credit Default Swaps (CDS) and the equity markets on currency exchange rate to determine whether the CDS is a better predictor as compared to the equity markets. Data sets used for the study include the Investment Grade (IG) and High Yield (HY) North American CDS indices, and iTraxx Europe index as a representative of the overall credit market conditions in Europe. The Vanguard Total Bond Market Index is included to see if CDS spread is more powerful information conta… Show more
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