2022
DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2022.1027674
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Predicting COVID-19 progression in hospitalized patients in Belgium from a multi-state model

Abstract: ObjectivesTo adopt a multi-state risk prediction model for critical disease/mortality outcomes among hospitalised COVID-19 patients using nationwide COVID-19 hospital surveillance data in Belgium.Materials and methodsInformation on 44,659 COVID-19 patients hospitalised between March 2020 and June 2021 with complete data on disease outcomes and candidate predictors was used to adopt a multi-state, multivariate Cox model to predict patients’ probability of recovery, critical [transfer to intensive care units (IC… Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…In patients diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection, higher CRP levels have been associated with severe pulmonary pathology and with worse overall outcomes [12][13][14][15][16][18][19][20][21][22]. Moreover, elevated CRP has been used as a predictor of COVID-19 severity and mortality [5][6][7][8][9][10][11]. However, patients with SARS-CoV-2 present for medical attention at differing points in their illness [47].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…In patients diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection, higher CRP levels have been associated with severe pulmonary pathology and with worse overall outcomes [12][13][14][15][16][18][19][20][21][22]. Moreover, elevated CRP has been used as a predictor of COVID-19 severity and mortality [5][6][7][8][9][10][11]. However, patients with SARS-CoV-2 present for medical attention at differing points in their illness [47].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Peak CRP levels occur about 48 h after an acute infection with a half-life of 19 h; levels may rise >1000-fold following acute infection or tissue injury [4]. CRP levels have been used for predicting COVID-19 disease severity [5][6][7][8][9][10][11]. Patients who were ultimately intubated, diagnosed with severe disease, or had worsened computer tomography (CT) severity scores often had elevated CRP levels [12][13][14][15][16].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In Brazil, the COVID-19 burden was substantial, and related casualties in the same period reached 690,000 2 . The disease pathophysiology and risk factors associated with higher in-hospital mortality have been extensively studied to improve its clinical management and to identify patients with poor prognosis at early stages 3 .…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%