Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivošije) and associated atmospheric circulation types

Ducic, Vladan; Luković, Jelena; Burić, Dragan; Stanojević, Gorica; Mustafic, Sanja

doi:10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012

Cited by 46 publications

(35 citation statements)

References 32 publications

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“…The average annual rainfall is 2120 mm and the totals in the country generally decrease from the southwest towards the northeast. The mountains in the southwest, receiving above 4000 mm of precipitation, are the wettest part of the Mediterranean region (Ducić et al, 2012).…”

Section: Study Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951–2010)

Burić

Luković

Ducic

et al. 2014

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

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Abstract. Montenegro so far has been poorly investigated in terms of climate extremes. The aim of this paper was to analyse the extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) temperature indices in the Mediterranean region of Montenegro for the period of 1951-2010. Four stations in the coastal area of Montenegro have been analysed: Herceg Novi, Ulcinj, Budva and Bar. Two periods (before 1980 and after 1980) were separately investigated in this study due to a well-known climate shift that occurred in the late 1970s. Seven indices of temperature extremes have been chosen. The trend was analysed using a MannKendall non-parametric test, while the slope was estimated using Sen's slope estimator. A negative trend has been calculated for cold nights and cold days at almost all stations. The most significant positive trends were obtained for warm conditions. The two separately investigated periods have shown contrasting temperature trends.

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Section: Study Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951–2010)

Burić

Luković

Ducic

et al. 2014

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

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“…Their results have shown that the frequency of heavy rainfall has generally increased [21][22][23][24][25][26]. Specifically, the analysis of rainfall and extremes in Serbia has been the subject of several studies.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Extreme Precipitation Events in Serbia: Defining the Threshold Criteria for Emergency Preparedness

et al. 2018

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Abstract:Considering recent weather events in Serbia (especially the floods in 2014), a need has arisen for research that would help in identifying extreme weather phenomena. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to determine the thresholds above which intense precipitation can be considered as extreme precipitation events in Serbia. In this study, we determined the frequency of precipitation occurring at an intensity above the threshold of an extreme phenomenon , as well as the frequency of precipitation occurring at or above the absolute daily maximum in the reference period . The study sample included daily rainfall observations from 28 stations from the national meteorological network in Serbia. Applying a decile method, all the stations recording precipitation above the threshold of dangerous phenomena on the same day are classified into the corresponding decile. The threshold value was determined as the average value of the extreme annual precipitation in the analyzed period. The cases that are due to the high prevalence listed in the last decile are considered extreme. The results showed that the critical number of observation points above which an event is considered extreme precipitation event is 6.21, and a warning of the danger could be ensured only in the case of neighboring stations in the network. The threshold of extreme precipitation events for the individual stations ranges up to 130 mm. The obtained results might be used to mitigate the effects of extreme precipitation events in Serbia in the future.

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“…Ducić et al (2012) carried out an analysis of the relationship between extreme precipitation events and synoptic circulation types in Montenegro, the wettest Mediterranean region. In their study, they used an efficiency coefficient, expressing the ratio between a relative frequency of a given circulation type in extreme precipitation events to its mean frequency for the period spanning 1951-2007.…”

Section: Synoptic Circulation Patterns That Induce Heavy Rainmentioning

confidence: 99%

Review Article: Atmospheric conditions inducing extreme precipitation over the eastern and western Mediterranean

Dayan

Nissen

Ulbrich

2015

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.

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Abstract. This review discusses published studies of heavy rainfall events over the Mediterranean Basin, combining them in a more general picture of the dynamic and thermodynamic factors and processes that produce heavy rain storms. It distinguishes the western and eastern Mediterranean in order to point out specific regional peculiarities. The crucial moisture for developing intensive convection over these regions can be originated not only from the adjacent Mediterranean Sea but also from distant upwind sources. Transport from remote sources is usually in the mid-tropospheric layers and associated with specific features and patterns of the larger-scale circulations. The synoptic systems (tropical and extratropical) that account for most of the major extreme precipitation events and the coupling of circulation and extreme rainfall patterns are presented. Heavy rainfall over the Mediterranean Basin is caused at times in concert by several atmospheric processes working at different atmospheric scales, such as local convection, upper synoptic-scale-level troughs, and mesoscale convective systems. Under tropical air-mass intrusions, convection generated by static instability seems to play a more important role than synoptic-scale vertical motions. Locally, the occurrence of torrential rains and their intensity is dependent on factors such as temperature profiles and implied instability, atmospheric moisture, and lower-level convergence.

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Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivošije) and associated atmospheric circulation types

Cited by 46 publications

References 32 publications

Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951–2010)

Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951–2010)

Extreme Precipitation Events in Serbia: Defining the Threshold Criteria for Emergency Preparedness

Review Article: Atmospheric conditions inducing extreme precipitation over the eastern and western Mediterranean

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