Precipitation Estimation Using FY-4B/AGRI Satellite Data Based on Random Forest

This study introduces an advanced ensemble methodology employing lightweight neural network models for identifying severe convective clouds from FY-4B geostationary meteorological satellite imagery. We have constructed a FY-4B based severe convective cloud dataset by a combination of algorithms and expert judgment. Through the ablation study of a model ensembling combination of multiple specialized lightweight architectures—ENet, ESPNet, Fast-SCNN, ICNet, and MobileNetV2—the optimal EFNet (ENet- and Fast-SCNN-based network) not only achieves real-time processing capabilities but also ensures high accuracy in severe weather detection. EFNet consistently outperformed traditional, heavier models across several key performance indicators: achieving an accuracy of 0.9941, precision of 0.9391, recall of 0.9201, F1 score of 0.9295, and computing time of 18.65 s over the test dataset of 300 images (~0.06 s per 512 × 512 pic). ENet shows high precision but misses subtle clouds, while Fast-SCNN has high sensitivity but lower precision, leading to misclassifications. EFNet’s ensemble approach balances these traits, enhancing overall predictive accuracy. The ensemble method of lightweight models effectively aggregates the diverse strengths of the individual models, optimizing both speed and predictive performance.

Section: Fy-4b Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Methodology for Severe Convective Cloud Identification Using Lightweight Neural Network Model Ensembling

Zhang,

2024

Random Forest Model-Based Inversion of Aerosol Vertical Profiles in China Using Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 Oxygen A-Band Observations

Zhou,

Liu,

Duan

et al. 2024

Aerosol research is important for the protection of the ecological environment, the improvement of air quality, and as a response to climate change. In this study, a random forest (RF) estimation model of aerosol optical depth (AOD) and extinction coefficient vertical profiles was, respectively, established using Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) oxygen-A band (O2 A-band) data from China and its surrounding areas in 2016, combined with geographical information (longitude, latitude, and elevation) and viewing angle data. To address the high number of OCO-2 O2 A-band channels, principal component analysis (PCA) was employed for dimensionality reduction. The model was then applied to estimate the aerosol extinction coefficients for the region in 2017, and its validity was verified by comparing the estimated values with the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO) Level 2 extinction coefficients. In the comprehensive analysis of overall performance, an AOD model was initially constructed using variables, achieving a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.676. Subsequently, predictions for aerosol extinction coefficients were generated, revealing a satisfactory agreement between the predicted and the actual values in the vertical direction, with an R of 0.535 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.107 km−1. Of the four seasons of the year, the model performs best in autumn (R = 0.557), while its performance was relatively lower in summer (R = 0.442). Height had a significant effect on the model, with both R and RMSE decreasing as height increased. Furthermore, the accuracy of aerosol profile inversion shows a dependence on AOD, with a better accuracy when AOD is less than 0.3 and RMSE can be less than 0.06 km−1.

Evaluation and Correction of GFS Water Vapor Products over United States Using GPS Data

Liu,

Zhou,

Zhu

et al. 2024

Precipitable water vapor (PWV) is one of the most dynamic components of the atmosphere, playing a critical role in precipitation formation, the hydrological cycle, and climate change. This study used SuomiNet Global Positioning System (GPS) data from April 2021 to June 2023 in the United States to comprehensively evaluate 3 and 6 h Global Forecast System (GFS) PWV products (i.e., PWV3h and PWV6h). There was high consistency between the GFS PWV and GPS PWV data, with correlation coefficients (Rs) higher than 0.98 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of about 0.23 cm. The PWV3h product performed slightly better than PWV6h. PWV tended to be underestimated when PWV > 4 cm, and the degree of underestimation increased with increasing water vapor value. The RMSE showed obvious seasonal and diurnal variations, with the RMSE value in summer (i.e., 0.280 cm) considerably higher than in winter (i.e., 0.158 cm), and nighttime were RMSEs higher than daytime RMSEs. Clear-sky conditions showed smaller RMSEs, while cloudy-sky conditions exhibited a smaller range of monthly RMSEs and higher Rs. PWV demonstrated a clear spatial pattern, with both Rs and RMSEs decreasing with increasing elevation and latitude. Based on these temporal and spatial patterns, Back Propagation neural network and random forest (RF) models were employed, using PWV, Julian day, and geographic information (i.e., latitude, longitude, and elevation) as input data to correct the GFS PWV products. The results indicated that the RF model was more advantageous for water vapor correction, improving overall accuracy by 12.08%. In addition, the accuracy of GFS PWV forecasts during hurricane weather was also evaluated. In this extreme weather, the RMSE of the GFS PWV forecast increased comparably to normal weather, but it remained less than 0.4 cm in most cases.