Pre-Epidemic Antibody Against 1957 Strain of Asiatic Influenza in Serum of Older People Living in the Netherlands

Mulder, J.

doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(58)91738-0

Cited by 132 publications

(60 citation statements)

References 5 publications

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“…5 days. Given serological data pre-dating 1957 [13], we assume that 0 % and 20% of those aged under and over 70 years respectively were immune to Asian influenza at the start of the pandemic.…”

Section: General Structure Of the Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analyses of the 1957 (Asian) influenza pandemic in the United Kingdom and the impact of school closures

Vynnycky¹,

Edmunds²

2007

Epidemiol. Infect.

104

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SUMMARYMany countries plan to close schools during a future influenza pandemic, although the potential impact is poorly understood. We apply a model of the transmission dynamics of pandemic influenza to consultation, serological and clinical data from the United Kingdom from the 1957 (Asian) influenza pandemic, to estimate the basic reproduction number (R 0 ), the proportion of infected individuals who experience clinical symptoms and the impact of school/nursery closures. The R 0 for Asian influenza was about 1 . 8 and 60-65% of infected individuals were estimated to have experienced clinical symptoms. During a future pandemic, closure of schools/nurseries could reduce the epidemic size only by a very small amount (<10 %) if R 0 is high (e.g. 2 . 5 or 3 . 5), and modest reductions, e.g. 22 % might be possible if it is low (1 . 8) and schools are closed early, depending on assumptions about contact patterns. Further data on contact patterns and their dependence on school closures are needed.

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Section: General Structure Of the Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analyses of the 1957 (Asian) influenza pandemic in the United Kingdom and the impact of school closures

Vynnycky¹,

Edmunds²

2007

Epidemiol. Infect.

104

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“…Arterial blood oxygen saturation studies performed on three patients indicated that oxygen administered via the Bennett Intermittent Positive Pressure Breathing (IPPB ) 4 Apparatus resulted in maximal improvement in oxyhemoglobin saturation. As noted in Table XIII, significant increase in arterial oxygen saturation followed the use of a positive pressure mask, but in each case further improvement in oxygen saturation was achieved by use of the IPPB mask.…”

Section: Liver Function Studiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…An acute, rapidly progressive pneumonia apparently produced by influenza virus infection alone. 4. Concomitant viral and bacterial pneumonia.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Studies on Influenza in the Pandemic of 1957-1958. Ii. Pulmonary Complications of Influenza*†

Louria¹,

Blumenfeld²,

Ellis³

et al. 1959

J. Clin. Invest.

442

247

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“…Mulder & Masurel (1958) were the first to suggest that the A2 virus was antigenically related to the virus of the 1890 pandemic and their evidence for this was the discovery that in sera collected during the period just before the 1957 A2 epidemic, antibody to this virus was detected in a small percentage of persons in the Netherlands over the age of 70. Davenport & Hennessy (1958) Epidemiology of influenza A viruses years ago.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Serological epidemiological studies with influenza A viruses

Schild

Stuart-Harris

1965

Epidemiol. Infect.

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Determinations were made of the age distribution of antibody to swine virus and representatives of the various families of human influenza A virus in 1961–62 collections of human sera and paired sera from forty individuals taken in 1952 and 1963:(a) The existence of cohorts of the population, each with a dominant antibody type related to strains of virus first encountered in childhood, was confirmed.(b) The basic epidemiological pattern was similar to that previously detected in 1954. However, it seemed that antibody to swine virus had been reinforced but not antibody to A and A1 strains.(c) Neutralizing and HI antibodies to A/Equine/Miami/63 virus were detected only in the sera of older people (65 years or over) collected in 1964. No antibodies were found to A/Equine/Prague/56 or two duck viruses.(d) Relatively constant levels of antibody to A, A1 and A 2 viruses were present in sera from aged persons but antibody to swine virus diminished with age. This could be attributed to a lack of swine antibody in the older females.

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Pre-Epidemic Antibody Against 1957 Strain of Asiatic Influenza in Serum of Older People Living in the Netherlands

Cited by 132 publications

References 5 publications

Analyses of the 1957 (Asian) influenza pandemic in the United Kingdom and the impact of school closures

Analyses of the 1957 (Asian) influenza pandemic in the United Kingdom and the impact of school closures

Studies on Influenza in the Pandemic of 1957-1958. Ii. Pulmonary Complications of Influenza*†

Serological epidemiological studies with influenza A viruses

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