Potential impacts of weather and climate slow variations on human health and wellness. Current perspectives

Zenchenko, T. A.; Бреус, Т. К.

doi:10.17223/25421379/16/7

Cited by 7 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 13 publications

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“…The analysis of time series data is traditionally used as the main statistical tool, both in Russian and international research papers [46][47][48][49]. In the course of mathematical calculations, time series of various physiological and geophysical data are analyzed to determine the degree of individual sensitivity of an organism to meteorological and geomagnetic factors [50].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Meteorological Parameters and Hypertensive Crisis Risk: a Longitudinal Study for Prediction Model Developing

Fesyun,

Yurova,

Grishechkina

et al. 2024

Bulletin of Rehabilitation Medicine

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INTRODUCTION. Integrating climatotherapy into health resort therapy for arterial hypertension in diverse landscapes has the potential to yield positive effects, if used in target groups and preventing the occurrence of meteopathic reactions, including a hypertensive crisis (HC). While the impact of natural healing factors on the human body has been previously studied, the utilization of modern mathematical approaches in developing HC models has enabled accurate predictions and timely prevention of HC during adverse weather periods. AIM. To analyze publicly available meteorological data time series to construct a mathematical model for predicting high-risk situations of HC based on the influence of climatic factors on patients with arterial hypertension. This model would identify unfavorable periods for hypertensive patients staying in health resorts throughout the year, allowing for timely therapeutic and preventive measures to prevent HC during these periods. MATERIALS AND METHODS. The study was conducted over a 22-month period, from January 1, 2019 to October 31, 2020, in Gelendzhik and Novorossiysk, renowned resort destinations located on the Black Sea coast of the Caucasus. These regions have a dry and subtropical climate. Meteorological data were obtained from Gelendzhik and Novorossiysk weather stations, and ambulance calls data were collected from Gelendzhik (12,268 calls) and Novorossiysk (12,226 calls), resulting in a total of 24,494 ambulance calls. The model was calculated using the maximum likelihood method through nonlinear logit regression. Key factors for the model included the main indicators of climate1 and geomagnetic conditions2. The logistic regression method exhibited a sensitivity of 56.0 % and a specificity of 77.3 %, with an overall accuracy of 76.0 %. RESULTS. According to the developed predictive model, the winter season has no more than 75.0 % of days associated with a low risk of hypertension, decreasing to 59.0 % in spring. However, the proportion increases to 89.0 % in summer and reaches 77.0 % in autumn. Model adequacy checks indicated a high degree of relevance, with Q (model quality) ranging between +0.64 and –0.117, and p 0.3. CONCLUSION. The developed logistic regression models provide more accurate calculations of individual risks for developing complications of hypertension and offer the opportunity to formulate individual strategies for patients. These models contribute to the field of climatotherapy and enhance the understanding of the impact of climatic factors on hypertensive patients, facilitating targeted interventions and improved management of hypertensive crises.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Meteorological Parameters and Hypertensive Crisis Risk: a Longitudinal Study for Prediction Model Developing

Fesyun,

Yurova,

Grishechkina

et al. 2024

Bulletin of Rehabilitation Medicine

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“…Ekologiya cheloveka (Human Ecology) 2021, 6, pp. 36-48 Original Articles Погодно-климатические факторы в зависимости от их изменения в пространстве и во времени в разной степени и в разных сочетаниях влияют на здоровье человека [1,4,5,8,9,16,25]. Хорошо известны трагические случаи массовой гибели людей в результате одновременного воздействия опасных погодных и экологических (загрязнение атмосферного воздуха) условий [20].…”

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Weather Factors and Ambulance Calls for Respiratory Causes in the City of Petrozavodsk

Rybakov

Belashev

2021

Ekologiya cheloveka (Human Ecology)

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ФГБУН Федеральный исследовательский центр «Карельский научный центр Российской академии наук», г. Петрозаводск Цель: оценить влияние погодных факторов на количество вызовов скорой медицинской помощи ( ЧВ СМП) по поводу болезней органов дыхания (БОД) в городе Петрозаводске. Методы: Проведен линейный корреляционный анализ для оценки связи между среднемесячными значениями показателей погоды и ЧВ СМП с диагнозами острые инфекции верхних дыхательных путей (ОИВДП) (J06), вирусная пневмония (J12), острый бронхит (J20), астма (J45) в 2015-2017 гг. Проведен сравнительный анализ теплого (14 месяцев со среднемесячной температурой от +9,8 до +18,4 °C) и холодного (22 месяца с температурой от -14,9 до +5,0 °C) периодов. Результаты: В межгодовой динамике выявлено последовательное уменьшение ЧВ СМП по поводу вирусной пневмонии. Отмечен сезонный характер влияния температуры воздуха и перепадов давления атмосферы на ЧВ СМП, особенно по поводу ОИВДП. При сравнении теплого и холодного периодов влияние температурного фактора уменьшилось за исключением усиления его отрицательной связи с ЧВ СМП по поводу острого бронхита. Анализ отдельных сезонов показал, что для уверенного снижения числа обращений по поводу острого бронхита благоприятными являются только летние месяцы. Летом при большей скорости ветра, меньших температуре и влажности воздуха повышено ЧВ СМП по поводу острого бронхита. При уменьшении межсуточных перепадов давления и ослаблении ветра сокращается ЧВ СМП по поводу ОИВДП и БОД. Осенью наблюдалась положительная корреляция между повторяемостью северо-западного направления ветра, переносящего атмосферное загрязнение от основных местных источников, и перепадами давления в течение суток, с одной стороны, и ЧВ СМП по поводу БОД -с другой. Зимнее снижение влажности с декабря по февраль сопровождается увеличением ЧВ СМП по поводу вирусной пневмонии и БОД. В весеннее время уменьшение ЧВ СМП по поводу ОИВДП и БОД связано с меньшим количеством нижней облачности, увеличение -с б льшим. Выводы: Выявлены статистически значимые связи между погодными факторами и ЧВ СМП в г. Петрозаводске, которые необходимо учитывать при планировании работы СМП. Ключевые слова: погодные факторы, вызовы скорой медицинской помощи, болезни органов дыхания, корреляционный анализ

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“…На сегодняшний день накоплено достаточно наблюдений о влиянии космических факторов на биосферу, но механизмы их действия мало изучены [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8]. Такие экологические воздействия обладают выраженным биотропным эффектом, который приводит к биохимическим и физиологическим перестройкам живых организмов [9] и проявляется не только на уровне индивидуального цикла развития, но также оказывает влияние на характер развития последующих поколений в целом [10].…”

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Geomagnetic Changes as a Risk Factor Causing Oxidative Stress in Human Erythrocytes

Irkaeva¹,

Zhukova²,

Shcherbatyuk³

et al. 2021

Health Risk Analysis

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At present impacts exerted by heliogeophysic factors on different living organisms are being examined more and more intensely. Over the last decade, it has been detected that meteorological factors play an important role in formation of adap- tation mechanisms in living systems. Sun and earth interaction is also known to directly influence rheological properties of human blood, both in a healthy body and in case there are chronic non-communicable diseases. Given that, impacts exerted by “cosmic weather” on living organisms, people in particular, are a stimulus to perform profound studies on reactions oc- curring as a response to effects produced by solar and geomagnetic activity, first of all, solar flares and magnetic storms. At present the most widely used approach to determining influences exerted by the Earth magnetic field on biologi- cal systems involves searching for correlations between different parameters of living organisms functioning and geo- magnetic indexes. Our research goal was to assess dependence between enzymatic activity of antioxidant protection system, exemplified by superoxide dismutase (SOD) and catalase, and geomagnetic field disturbances. The research focused on examining blood samples taken from conditionally healthy volunteers living in Nizhniy Nov- gorod region. SOD and catalase activity were determined in blood erythrocytes with spectrophotometry. Geomagnetic dis- turbances force was determined as per planetary Kp-index value. The research established a statistically significant correlation between SOD and catalase activity and a value of geo- magnetic field disturbance; this correlation allows making an indirect assumption that geomagnetic conditions directly in- fluence superoxide radical production in a body. Therefore, a change in superoxide radical production is a way for the geomagnetic field to influence living organisms. Activation of free radical oxidation can make for both occurrence and more intense clinical course of several diseases (espe- cially cardiovascular and neuropsychic ones). So, in future it is advisable to assess reactivity of antioxidant protection sys- tem as a response to geomagnetic fluctuations in case there are pathologic changes in a body.

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Potential impacts of weather and climate slow variations on human health and wellness. Current perspectives

Cited by 7 publications

References 13 publications

Meteorological Parameters and Hypertensive Crisis Risk: a Longitudinal Study for Prediction Model Developing

Meteorological Parameters and Hypertensive Crisis Risk: a Longitudinal Study for Prediction Model Developing

Weather Factors and Ambulance Calls for Respiratory Causes in the City of Petrozavodsk

Geomagnetic Changes as a Risk Factor Causing Oxidative Stress in Human Erythrocytes

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