Potential impacts of sea-level rise on populations and agriculture

Gommes, René; Guerny, Jacques du; Nachtergaele, Freddy; Brinkman, R.

doi:10.1017/cbo9780511535864.028

Cited by 23 publications

(24 citation statements)

References 5 publications

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“…Much of this urban growth will be concentrated in coastal areas, with the majority of urban populations (57 percent, 2.8 billion people) living within 60 miles of the coast by 2025. 23 This growth can challenge the government's ability to provide basic services. The large concentration of people will push the urban infrastructure to its limits.…”

Section: Urbanizationmentioning

confidence: 99%

The U.S. Army Study of the Human Dimension in the Future 2015-2024

2008

PsycEXTRA Dataset

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Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to a penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number. REPORT DATE APR 20082 Foreword From the Commanding General U.S. Army Training and Doctrine CommandIn August 2006, I directed a study to take a thoughtful and detailed look at what we are calling the Human Dimension. In looking to an uncertain future from 2015 to 2024, as we have in other concepts, we envision an increasingly complex future operating environment that will challenge individual Soldiers, their leaders, and their organizations in unprecedented ways. I wanted this study to serve as a point of departure for wide-ranging discussions, research, and investigations into the performance, reliability, flexibility, endurance, and adaptability of an Army made up of Soldiers, their families, civilians, and contractors.The Army cannot afford to focus only on current operations as a predictor of the future. It must prepare people so that future commanders can sustain operations in a time of persistent conflict. Approved Army concepts describe the employment of Soldiers in the future. The United States Army Study for the Human Dimension goes further to explore human factors in war across the range of military operations. This study reaches beyond the issues of equipping Soldiers with hardware tools of war into the more subtle moral-ethical, intellectual, and physical components of Soldier development. We will follow this study with a formal approved concept in the near future.The Army will always rely on an array of capabilities developed by other Services and the larger joint community in order to achieve its conceptual goals. Similarly, the entire joint force will regularly participate in multinational and interagency operations in the future. Thus, I strongly encourage the use of the Human Dimension study in our interactions with other Services and joint organizations, both to advance the intellectual dialogue regarding future operations and to strengthen the basis for defining future Army and joint requirements, in the spirit of joint interdependence. In the same vein, recognizing that the Army and the other services operate in support of the Nation, and that many of the required capabilities this study reveals are beyond the capability of the Department of Defense, I welcome and encourage comments fr...

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Section: Urbanizationmentioning

confidence: 99%

The U.S. Army Study of the Human Dimension in the Future 2015-2024

2008

PsycEXTRA Dataset

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“…Approximately 20% of the human population live within 30 km of the sea (Cohen et al 1997;Gommes et al 1998), exerting considerable direct or indirect influences on coastal habitats, which add to more …”

Section: Habitat Modificationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, due to increasing signs of humaninduced local and global impacts (e.g. Cohen et al 1997;Gommes et al 1998;Phillippart 2007), there is also a pressing need to study further coastal organisms to understand their ecological role and function and to evaluate their potential use as indicators and/or key species for coastal ecosystem monitoring and management.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Goatfishes (Mullidae) as indicators in tropical and temperate coastal habitat monitoring and management

Uiblein

2007

Marine Biology Research

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This review investigates if goatfishes qualify as habitat indicators and play a role as key species for use in coastal ecosystem monitoring and management, emphasizing major gaps of knowledge in goatfish ecology and systematics. Currently, 66 species of goatfishes are known, the family occurring widely in tropical, subtropical and temperate habitats from the upper littoral down to the upper slope. Studies of goatfish occurrence and abundance in natural habitats have documented general preferences for sand-associated bottoms after post-larval settlement that goes hand in hand with the development of the characteristic barbels. Species, populations and later life-history stages may, however, differ significantly from each other in habitat use. Some species are more restricted to hard bottoms, others separate mainly by depth. Goatfishes respond to human-induced factors such as fisheries and habitat modification, as reflected by abundance, size, or weight changes, or changes in their distributional ranges. Temperature increase may lead to increased reproductive or growth rates and longer warming periods may induce goatfishes to migrate to higher latitudes, as exemplified by striped red mullet (Mullus surmuletus) in the North Sea. Isolated occurrences of this species in the Norwegian Sea at 608N have been documented. Goatfishes may act as allochthonous ecosystem engineers through their vigorous foraging behaviour with barbels and mouth, which leads to the stirring-up of sediments and associated detritus particles high into the water column. Goatfishes play a key role in the formation of multi-species foraging associations as nuclear species that are followed by many other species. The role of goatfishes in food webs has been rarely evaluated and the many interactions goatfishes may be involved in have not yet been sufficiently considered. There is also a considerable lack of basic systematic and taxonomic knowledge, new species still being described and intraspecific morphological variation and genetic differentiation requiring more detailed studies. Goatfishes clearly deserve more attention in future coastal habitat exploration, monitoring and management efforts.

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“…Sea-level rise (SLR) is a key manifestation of climate change that is affecting the low-lying coastal communities of the Southeast United States today [5,6], and is expected to threaten these communities centuries into the future [6][7][8]. The biggest threats of SLR to these coastal communities include enhanced flooding (both permanent and episodic), accelerated erosion and land loss, ecosystem and habitat degradation, impeded land drainage, and saline intrusion into rivers, estuaries, and coastal aquifers [5,6,9].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A GIS Methodology to Assess Exposure of Coastal Infrastructure to Storm Surge & Sea-Level Rise: A Case Study of Sarasota County, Florida

Tate¹,

Frazier²

2013

J Geogr Nat Disast

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Storm surge is the leading cause of loss of life and property from hurricanes. Recent research using geographical information system (GIS) technology has demonstrated sea level rise (SLR) will increase storm surge inundation zones. While effective and accepted GIS models exist for framing surge inundation there is a lack of depth information and consideration of SLR that may be critical for examining the exposure of coastal assets to current and future storm surge hazards. There is a need for a methodology that relates depth to inundation and asset exposure, and is supported by recent hazard vulnerability and resilience literature. Furthermore, new data has been collected that facilitates more detailed SLR modelling than available in previous research. Researchers provide a framework for GIS depth modelling of contemporary and SLR enhanced storm surge that is superior to two-dimensional inundation modelling for examining exposure of societal assets to storm surge and SLR in Sarasota County, Florida. The effectiveness of this framework is demonstrated in a GIS by comparing inundation modelling, depth modelling, and SLR modelling as applied to the exposure of flood-depth sensitive infrastructure in Sarasota County, Florida.

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Potential impacts of sea-level rise on populations and agriculture

Cited by 23 publications

References 5 publications

The U.S. Army Study of the Human Dimension in the Future 2015-2024

The U.S. Army Study of the Human Dimension in the Future 2015-2024

Goatfishes (Mullidae) as indicators in tropical and temperate coastal habitat monitoring and management

A GIS Methodology to Assess Exposure of Coastal Infrastructure to Storm Surge & Sea-Level Rise: A Case Study of Sarasota County, Florida

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