Potential impacts of climate change on distribution range of Nabis pseudoferus and N. palifer (Hemiptera: Nabidae) in Iran

Abstract

Nabis pseudoferus Remane and N. palifer Seidenstucker are predators that feed on a wide range of insect pests. To reveal their current potential habitats, the effects of climate change and their future distribution in various areas of Iran we used maximum entropy modeling (Maxent). To produce the models, samples were collected from 218 areas of Iran resulting in discovering 271 points where the nabids were found. The accuracy and performance of distribution models were also evaluated by the area under receiver operating characteristic curve and jack-knife analysis. In the Maxent model, the climatic, elevation and land cover layers were the major bases for the current models. In modeling future distribution, the land cover layer was excluded. The distribution of N. pseudoferus was independent of the type of vegetation while the distribution of N. palifer varied according to differences in type of vegetation. Using jack-knife analysis, the land cover and precipitation were the most effective predictors driving the two Nabis species range expansion. From 2013 to 2050 the impacts of climate change on N. pseudoferus distribution was predicted to have a negative impact but have a positive effect on N. palifer range expansion. Results could be used in preparation of predators' conservation, translocation and reintroduction programs and application in pest management strategies.

Assassin bugs of the subfamily Diaspidiinae (Heteroptera: Reduviidae): distribution and potential ecological niches

“…; Elmore et al . ; Solhjouy‐Fard & Sarafrazi ). A 50‐fold (for the African group) and 30‐fold (for the Madagascan group) cross‐validation was run using the full occurrence dataset randomly split into a 75% training and 25% test dataset (Phillips et al .…”

Evolutionary consequences of climate‐induced range shifts in insects

“…Some recent examples of potential climate‐induced range shifts in insects include the coleopteran pine beetle Dendroctonus brevicomis (Evangelista et al., ), the dipteran (pest) fly Lucilia sericata (Rose & Wall, ) and the sand fly Phlebotomus perniciosu , a vector for Leishmania infantum (Fischer, Thomas & Beierkuhnlein, ), the hemipterans Magicicada spp. (Cooley et al., ) and Nabis pseudoferus (Solhjouy‐Fard & Sarafrazi, ), the hymenopteran ant Pheidole megacephala (Bertelsmeier, Luque & Courchamp, ) and bumblebees Bombus spp. (Pradervand et al., ), lepidopterans (Kharouba & Kerr, ; Buckley, Butlin & Bridle, ) and several species of the order Odonata (Bush et al., ; Sánchez‐Guillén et al., 2013 c , 2014 c ).…”

Predation and reproduction of the generalist predator Nabis pseudoferus preying on Tuta absoluta

“…Among the generalist predators that forage on tomato plants, Nabis pseudoferus Remane (Hemiptera: Nabidae) is a major polyphagous, Palaearctic predator inhabiting crops such as alfalfa, cotton, and soybean (Braman & Yeargan, 1988; Kerzhner & Henry, 2008; Solhjouy‐Fard and Sarafrazi, 2014). The prey range of Nabis spp.…”

“…includes pests such as aphids, whiteflies, lepidopteran eggs, caterpillars, small maggots, psyllids, thrips, beetle eggs and larvae, early grasshopper instars, small spiders, and mites (Lattin, 1989; Perić et al, 2008; Cornelis & Coscarón, 2013). Nabis pseudoferus also helps to keep pest populations below the economic threshold (Khaghaninia et al, 2013; Solhjouy‐Fard and Sarafrazi, 2014). Preliminary observations in the Mediterranean suggest that it could help control T. absoluta , especially in protected tomato crops (Cabello et al, 2009; Zappala et al, 2013).…”