Potential geographic distribution of relict plant Pteroceltis tatarinowii in China under climate change scenarios

Yang, Jingtian; Pan, Jun–Yi; Huang, Yi; Yang, Yulin; Wang, Rulin; Yang, Yuxia

doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0266133

Cited by 11 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 48 publications

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“…We further expected ( Hypothesis 2 ) that the distribution range of most of the species would be resilient to climate change. We observed universal northward shifts in agreement with many other empirical studies (Kumar and Rawat 2022; Lu et al 2021; Mueller et al 2022; Yang et al 2022) as well as that the distribution ranges of most species increased in size (Fig. 1).…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 92%

Woody species with high wood density are more vulnerable to global change in South China

Li,

Veresoglou

2023

Preprint

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To cope with global change, plants shift their distributions. Distribution shifts tend to be more dramatic across rare species. We here questioned how the distribution range of eight rare woody species is changing and how effectively the plants cope with the shift. We further addressed whether plant traits that could predict those parameters. We carried out Maxent Distribution Modelling on species observation records before 1980 under present climatic conditions and four future (CMIP5) scenarios. To assess how effectively plants cope with migration we assessed species observations after 1980. We finally collated plant trait data on three traits. Most distribution ranges expanded northwards. Temperature driven rather than precipitation driven variables described distribution shifts best. Wood density summarized well the susceptibility of those plants to climate change. There are many woody species in tropical and subtropical areas for which we have very little information available. We identified, subject to our small pool of species, a plant trait, wood density, that could summarize responses to global change that could potentially be used as a tool in conservation ecology to prioritize conservation efforts.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 92%

Woody species with high wood density are more vulnerable to global change in South China

Li,

Veresoglou

2023

Preprint

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“…Climatic variables were obtained from the WorldClim Database (www.worldclim.org) [37]. The data received from WorldClim can be used for mapping and spatial modeling [38][39][40]. Soil variables included soil types from the Resource and Environment Science and Data Center (https://www.resdc.cn/ Default.aspx), soil particle-size distribution dataset [41] and soil quality data from the Harmonized World Soil Database (HWSD) (https://www.fao.org/soils-portal/data-hub/soil-mapsand-databases/harmonized-world-soil-database-v12/en).…”

Section: Environmental Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting the comprehensive geospatial pattern of two ephedrine-type alkaloids for Ephedra sinica in Inner Mongolia

Guo

et al. 2023

PLoS ONE

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Ephedra sinica Stapf. is a shrubby plant widely used in traditional Chinese medicine due to its high level of medicinal value, thus, it is in high demand. Ephedrine (E) and pseudoephedrine (PE) are key medicinal components and quality indicators for E. sinica. These two ephedrine-type alkaloids are basic elements that exert the medicinal effect of E. sinica. Recently, indiscriminate destruction and grassland desertification have caused the quantity and quality of these pharmacological plants to degenerate. Predicting potentially suitable habitat for high-quality E. sinica is essential for its future conservation and domestication. In this study, MaxEnt software was utilized to map suitable habitats for E. sinica in Inner Mongolia based on occurrence data and a set of variables related to climate, soil, topography and human impact. The model parametrization was optimized by evaluating alternative combinations of feature classes and values of the regularization multiplier. Second, a geospatial quality model was fitted to relate E and PE contents to the same environmental variables and to predict their spatial patterns across the study area. Outputs from the two models were finally coupled to map areas predicted to have both suitable conditions for E. sinica and high alkaloid content. Our results indicate that E. sinica with high-quality E content was mainly distributed in the Horqin, Ulan Butong and Wulanchabu grasslands. E. sinica with high-quality PE content was primarily found in the Ordos, Wulanchabu and Ulan Butong grasslands. This study provides scientific information for the protection and sustainable utilization of E. sinica. It can also help to control and prevent desertification in Inner Mongolia.

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“…Although the temperature increment induced by climate change may increase the suitable habitat area of some species [6], for some plant species in special habits it will also reduce the suitable distribution area and may even push the species to the verge of extinction [7,8]. Studies have indicated that species sensitive to climate change often migrate to high-altitude and high-latitude areas under future climate change [9][10][11][12].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Prediction of Potential Distribution Patterns of Three Larix Species on Qinghai-Tibet Plateau under Future Climate Scenarios

Huang

Zhang

et al. 2023

Forests

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How climate change affects the plants on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) has become a hot research topic in recent years. It was widely recognized that Larix. are sensitive to climate change, while the corresponding research of Larix. on the QTP has been rare. Using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model, we predicted the potential distribution patterns of Larix potaninii Batalin, Larix griffithii and Larix speciosa on the QTP in this study under different future climate scenarios. The results demonstrated that the area of suitable habitat for Larix potaninii Batalin (Larix griffithii) presented a loss (gain) trend, while that for Larix speciosa remained unchanged on the whole. The centroids of their suitable habits all migrated to the high-altitude and high-latitude areas, suggesting the three species may take the same survival strategy in response to climate change. Annual Precipitation was the most significant environmental factor influencing the distribution pattern of Larix potaninii Batalin, while Temperature Annual Range was the most significant for Larix griffithii and Larix speciosa. The overlapping potential suitable area for the three Larix species was the maximum under the 2041–2060 SSP126 future climate scenarios and decreased with the increasing emission concentration, suggesting that the niches of these species may step towards separation. This study suggested the survival strategies of the Larix species in response to climate change and the findings may provide a reliable basis for conserving the endangered Larix species under different future climate scenarios.

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Potential geographic distribution of relict plant Pteroceltis tatarinowii in China under climate change scenarios

Cited by 11 publications

References 48 publications

Woody species with high wood density are more vulnerable to global change in South China

Woody species with high wood density are more vulnerable to global change in South China

Predicting the comprehensive geospatial pattern of two ephedrine-type alkaloids for Ephedra sinica in Inner Mongolia

Prediction of Potential Distribution Patterns of Three Larix Species on Qinghai-Tibet Plateau under Future Climate Scenarios

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