Potential distributional shifts in North America of allelopathic invasive plant species under climate change models

Wang, Anson; Melton, Anthony E.; Soltis, Douglas E.; Soltis, Pamela S.

doi:10.1016/j.pld.2021.06.010

Cited by 27 publications

(22 citation statements)

References 77 publications

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“…Climate change and urban conditions promote further rapid spread and may lead to increased sensitization rates and ultimately enhanced healthcare utilization due to climate change-induced disruption of antigen-specific tolerance. 32–37 While 20 years ago the main pollen season for A. altissima was reported in July, 15 , 38 we now detected the highest pollen concentrations in June. This may be a result of very high temperature in early summertime in the years 2019 and 2020.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 55%

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Invasive Growth of Ailanthus altissima Trees is Associated with a High Rate of Sensitization in Atopic Patients

Prenzel¹,

Treudler²,

Lipek³

et al. 2022

JAA

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Purpose Ailanthus altissima is one of the world’s most invasive species with a globally problematic spread. Pollen is dispersed locally and partially airborne. We aimed at investigating if (i) A. altissima pollen can be detected in relevant quantity in the air and if (ii) sensitization to A. altissima can be detected in patients with seasonal exacerbation of atopic diseases. Patients and Methods We recorded distribution of A. altissima in Leipzig, Germany. In 2019 and 2020, pollen was collected with a Hirst-type pollen trap placed on the roof of the University Hospital. Specific IgE investigations were performed in children and adults with history of atopic diseases with deterioration between May and July. We analysed specific IgE for A. altissima, Alternaria sp., birch, grasses, profilins, polcalcins and crossreacting carbohydrates. Results We found abundant growth of A. altissima and pollen was detected from early June to mid-July with a maximum pollen concentration of 31 pollen/m 3 . Out of 138 patients (63 female, 69 children/adolescents), 95 (69%) had seasonal allergic rhinitis, 84 (61%) asthma, and 43 (31%) atopic dermatitis. Sensitization to A. altissima was shown in 59 (42%). There were no significant differences between age groups. In 59% of patients sensitized (35/59), there was no sensitization to possibly cross-reacting structures. Conclusion Sensitization to A. altissima pollen could be detected in 42% of our patients with atopic diseases, suggesting allergenic potential of this neophyte. In the context of further spread with climate change, eradication strategies and population-based sensitization studies are needed.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 55%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Invasive Growth of Ailanthus altissima Trees is Associated with a High Rate of Sensitization in Atopic Patients

Prenzel¹,

Treudler²,

Lipek³

et al. 2022

JAA

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“…Many studies reported wide-scale poleward shift patterns due to climate change for a wide range of species (e.g., [ 134 , 135 ]). Invasive plants are not an exception (e.g., [ 136 , 137 ]), as this pattern was also projected for various invasive plants (e.g., [ 138 , 139 , 140 , 141 ]. Beerling [ 142 ] projected a northward invasive range expansion for I. glandulifera in Europe under climate change (solely the minimum winter temperature and growing degree days were used as predictors) [ 87 ], and these projections were supported by the increasing occurrence reports from higher latitudes in Europe in recent decades [ 73 ].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 72%

A Modeling Framework to Frame a Biological Invasion: Impatiens glandulifera in North America

Kanmaz

Şenel

Dalfes

2023

Plants

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Biological invasions are a major component of global environmental change with severe ecological and economic consequences. Since eradicating biological invaders is costly and even futile in many cases, predicting the areas under risk to take preventive measures is crucial. Impatiens glandulifera is a very aggressive and prolific invasive species and has been expanding its invasive range all across the Northern hemisphere, primarily in Europe. Although it is currently spread in the east and west of North America (in Canada and USA), studies on its fate under climate change are quite limited compared to the vast literature in Europe. Hybrid models, which integrate multiple modeling approaches, are promising tools for making projections to identify the areas under invasion risk. We developed a hybrid and spatially explicit framework by utilizing MaxEnt, one of the most preferred species distribution modeling (SDM) methods, and we developed an agent-based model (ABM) with the statistical language R. We projected the I. glandulifera invasion in North America, for the 2020–2050 period, under the RCP 4.5 scenario. Our results showed a predominant northward progression of the invasive range alongside an aggressive expansion in both currently invaded areas and interior regions. Our projections will provide valuable insights for risk assessment before the potentially irreversible outcomes emerge, considering the severity of the current state of the invasion in Europe.

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“…Otherwise, the lineage will likely be eliminated by ‘minority cytotype disadvantage’ ( Levin, 1975 ). Recent studies based on global climate data and new analytical methods ( Warren et al., 2008 ; Wang et al., 2022 ) have shown that the niches of allopolyploids differ from at least one of their progenitors ( López-Alvarez et al., 2015 ; Ficetola and Stöck, 2016 ; Marchant et al., 2016 ; Akiyama et al., 2021 ; Han et al., 2022 ). Nevertheless, other studies have shown that allopolyploids occupy intermediate or non-divergent ecological niches compared to their progenitors (e.g., Casazza et al., 2017 ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Allopolyploid origin and niche expansion of Rhodiola integrifolia (Crassulaceae)

Zhong¹,

Li²,

Zhang³

2023

Plant Diversity

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Potential distributional shifts in North America of allelopathic invasive plant species under climate change models

Cited by 27 publications

References 77 publications

Invasive Growth of Ailanthus altissima Trees is Associated with a High Rate of Sensitization in Atopic Patients

Invasive Growth of Ailanthus altissima Trees is Associated with a High Rate of Sensitization in Atopic Patients

A Modeling Framework to Frame a Biological Invasion: Impatiens glandulifera in North America

Allopolyploid origin and niche expansion of Rhodiola integrifolia (Crassulaceae)

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