Potential And Parameter Sensitivity Of Model Based Predictive Control For Concrete Core Activation And Air Handling Unit

Abstract

This paper presents a sensitivity analysis of MPC performance (thermal comfort and energy use) to variations of the implemented parameters, with the final goal to rank the building and system parameters influencing the robustness of the MPC. The parameters of the system (ambient temperature, solar radiation and occupancy prediction values; measurement accuracy of zone and CCA temperatures; cost function values such as cost of the CCA or AHU production units; system constraints such as available thermal power of the production units, ) are varied within typical uncertainty ranges and the change in control performance is investigated. The resulting parameter ranking serves as a priority list for future improvement of MPC robustness.