2018
DOI: 10.1177/0022002717753919
|View full text |Cite
|
Sign up to set email alerts
|

Postdisaster Reconstruction as a Cause of Intrastate Violence: An Instrumental Variable Analysis with Application to the 2004 Tsunami in Sri Lanka

Abstract: Despite growing concerns about the effects of environmental changes, we only have disparate and seemingly contradictory findings about the relationship between natural disasters and intrastate violence. This article addresses that problem by introducing postdisaster reconstruction as a primary explanatory variable for intrastate violence. I extend bargaining theory to predict that postdisaster reconstruction causes a commitment problem, which in turn incentivizes warring parties to fight for the strategic oppo… Show more

Help me understand this report

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...
1
1
1
1

Citation Types

0
17
0

Year Published

2018
2018
2022
2022

Publication Types

Select...
8
1
1

Relationship

0
10

Authors

Journals

citations
Cited by 19 publications
(17 citation statements)
references
References 62 publications
0
17
0
Order By: Relevance
“…For instance, Wood and Wright (2016) suggest that state disasters increase grievances and decrease state control, encouraging dissident action and leading to state repression. Others, however, have posited that the relationship is conditional on the pre-existing state-citizen relationship (Detges, 2017), the post-disaster reconstruction efforts (Kikuta, 2019), distribution of aid (De Juan, Pierskalla and Schwarz, 2020) and pre-disaster structural conditions (Lehrs, this issue).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For instance, Wood and Wright (2016) suggest that state disasters increase grievances and decrease state control, encouraging dissident action and leading to state repression. Others, however, have posited that the relationship is conditional on the pre-existing state-citizen relationship (Detges, 2017), the post-disaster reconstruction efforts (Kikuta, 2019), distribution of aid (De Juan, Pierskalla and Schwarz, 2020) and pre-disaster structural conditions (Lehrs, this issue).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, in his formal models (Eastin 2016(Eastin , 2018, he does not explicitly consider external policy interventions. Kikuta (2019) has investigated the crucial role of international assistance through shaping the incentives of armed groups in a recent study on the peace process in post-tsunami Sri Lanka. Another example of a study stressing international policy interventions is the study by Ghimire et al (2015), who emphasize the current importance of international humanitarian assistance in most disaster management situations but do not include it as a factor in their quantitative analysis.…”
Section: Empirical Evidence On the Contested Elements Of The Disastermentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Cavallo et al (2013) already postulated that in some cases, disasters lead to institutional and politico-structural changes that can have either adverse or favorable long-term implication for development trajectories. Whether the end of the conflict is at all related to the tsunami is debated-for example, Kikuta (2018). In the other most tsunami-affected area, Aceh province in Indonesia, the end of the civil conflict was directly tied to the tsunami damage and the need to establish access to reconstruction funding.…”
Section: Bmentioning
confidence: 99%