Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss Buxbaumia viridis in Serbia (SE Europe)

Abstract

The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss Buxbaumia viridis have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projection of unknown potential sites and future scenarios of its distribution dynamics. The results achieved suggest potential distribution range of the species will be significantly reduced. According to the climate change models, the habitat changes including the range loss of this species are predicted to be drastic, i.e., between 93% and 97% by the year 2050, and between 98% and 99.9% by the year 2070, affecting primarily lower elevations of its current range in Serbia. A major reason for the projected decline of the species is climate change combined with continued poor forest management.

The Bryoflora of Kafr El-Sheikh Governorate, Nile Delta, Egypt, With Special Reference to Physcomitrium niloticum (Delile) Müll. Hal.

“…According to (Jägerbrand, 2006;Pantović et al, 2023), the numerous climatic changes (e.g. rising temperatures and lowering perceptions), and human interventions (e.g.…”