Positive Circumferential Resection Margin in Rectal Cancer Is a Robust Predictor of Poor Long-term Prognosis With Clinicopathological Bias Between Groups Compensated by Propensity-score Matching Analysis

Abstract

Background/Aim: Circumferential resection margin (CRM) is the most reliable predictor of local and distant recurrence in locally-advanced rectal cancer (LARC). The present study was conducted to compare the long-term outcomes between CRM (+) and (-) groups using propensity-score (PS) matching analysis to compensate for bias between groups. Patients and Methods: Of 563 consecutive patients with Stage II/III rectal cancer who were treated surgically with curativeintent at Juntendo University Hospital between Jan 1989 and Mar 2018, 412 patients were enrolled retrospectively in the study. The patients were divided into a CRM (+) group (n=21; 5.1%) and a CRM (-) group (n=391; 94.9%). Results: In the entire cohort, recurrence-free survival (RFS), local recurrencefree survival (LRFS), non-local recurrence-free survival (NLRFS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were significantly worse among patients in the CRM (+) group compared with those in the CRM (-) group. Univariate analysis demonstrated patients in the CRM (+) group had significantly larger primary tumors (p=0.02), more frequently had open surgery (p=0.009), had an abdominoperineal resection (APR) procedure (p=0.01) and a T4 primary tumor (p<0.0001). After PS matching analysis, in the propensity-matched cohort, RFS, LRFS, NLRFS and CSS were significantly worse among patients in the CRM (+) group compared with those in the CRM (-) group. Conclusion: PS matching analysis demonstrated that RFS, LRFS, NLRFS, and CSS were significantly worse among patients in the CRM (+) group compared with those in the CRM (-) group. The present results indicate that CRM (+) is a robust predictor of long-term outcome of LARC, independent of tumor size.

Predicting the Feasibility of Curative Resection in Low Rectal Cancer: Insights from a Prospective Observational Study on Preoperative Magnetic Resonance Imaging Accuracy

“…A positive pCRM was associated with worse recurrence-free survival, non-local recurrence-free survival, and cancer-specific survival as demonstrated in numerous observational studies [20,49,50].…”