Population Structure, Distribution, and Spatial Characteristics of Alsophila spinulosa in Chishui, China

Yuan, Dongmei; Yang, Man; Yu, Lifei; An, Mingtai; He, Qinqin; Mu, Jun; Yan, Lingbin

doi:10.3390/d15121200

Cited by 1 publication

(1 citation statement)

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“…Its spore germination and gametophyte development require strict environmental conditions (Cheng et al., 1990 ; Song et al., 2008 ). The species prefers to grow in warm and moist environments, and canyon forest habitats provide suitable hydrothermal conditions and favorable topographic shade (Yuan et al., 2023 ; Zhang & Nishida, 2013 ). Alsophila costularis has important ornamental and medicinal values, and is often deforested excessively (Ying et al., 2009 ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Distribution model and prediction of the tree fern Alsophila costularis Baker (Cyatheaceae) in China

Wang,

Li,

et al. 2024

Ecology and Evolution

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Climatic change is a challenge for plant conservation due to plants' limited dispersal abilities. The survival and sustainable development of plants directly depend on the availability of suitable habitats. In this study, we employed an optimized MaxEnt model to evaluate the relative contribution of each environmental variable and predict the suitable habitat for Alsophila costularis under past, current, and future periods, which is an endangered relict tree fern known as a living fossil. For the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and Mid‐Holocene scenarios, we adopted two atmosphere–ocean general circulation models: CCSM4 and MIROC‐ESM. The BCC‐CSM2‐MR model was used for future projections. The results revealed that temperature annual range (Bio7) contributed most to the model construction with an optimal range of 13.74–22.44°C. Species distribution modeling showed that current suitable areas were mainly located in most areas of Yunnan, most areas of Hainan, most areas of Taiwan, southeastern Tibet, southwestern Guizhou, western Guangxi, southern Sichuan, and southern Guangdong, with an area of 35.90 × 104 km2. The suitable habitat area expanded northward in Yunnan from the Last Interglacial to the LGM under the CCSM4 model, while a significant contraction toward southwestern Yunnan was found under the MIROC‐ESM model. Furthermore, the potential distributions during the Mid‐Holocene were more widespread in Yunnan compared to those under current period. It is predicted that in the future, the range will significantly expand to northern Yunnan and western Guizhou. Almost all centroids of suitable habitats were distributed in southeastern Yunnan under different periods. The stable areas were located in southwestern Yunnan in all scenarios. The simulation results could provide a theoretical basis for the formulation of reasonable conservation and management measures to mitigate the effects of future climate change for A. costularis.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%