“…3 First, our paper belongs to a literature on the endogenous responses of government spending to economic shocks. A number of authors have studied the amplification and propagation mechanisms of public expenditure in response to aggregate shocks, including total factor productivity (TFP) shocks (Ambler and Paquet (1996), Barseghyan, Battaglini, and Coate (2010), Debortoli and Nunes (2010), Azzimonti and Talbert (2011), Bachmann and Bai (2013)), preference shocks (Battaglini and Coate (2008), Azzimonti, Battaglini, and Coate (2010), Yared (2010)), commitment shocks (Debortoli and Nunes 3 A complementary literature on endogenous public policy focused on deterministic policy dynamics: in addition to KKR, see Krusell, Quadrini, and Rios-Rull (1997), Krusell and Rios-Rull (1999), Hassler et al (2003Hassler et al ( , 2005, Corbae, D'Erasmo, andKuruscu (2009), Martin (2010), Azzimonti (2011), Lagunoff (2011), andSong, Storesletten, andZilibotti (2012). (2010,2013)), and political uncertainty shocks (Woo (2005), Azzimonti and Talbert (2011)).…”