Political and Economic Relations of Strategic Triangle Among China, Taiwan and United States (1996-2016)

Abstract


 Purpose: The paper aims to analyze the political and economic relations between China and Taiwan from 1996 and 2016.
 Methodology/Approach: Multi-method methodology is applied to understand 20 years of complex interdependency relation between China and Taiwan. A logistic regression model is used to stablish the interactions among the variables and then a historical perspective provides an in-depth discussion regarding the political entities’ relationship.
 The findings: China as the principal Taiwanese trade partner provokes a dilemma to Taiwan, because these condition pressure to Taiwanese government adopt international insertion that don’t compromise the Chinese preferences. Also, China hostile diplomacy, situation in strategic triangle among China, Taiwan and United States, and electoral period correspond the other variables that influences Taiwanese political behavior.
 Research Limitation/implication: The analyses don’t cover the Tsai Ing-wen government but indicates the possibilities to the current administration.
 Originality/Value of paper: Although the paper has a historical limitation, the originality is the use of multi-method approach. This paper contributes in methodological and theorical assessment about economic and political relations between China and Taiwan.