PLT Counts as a Predictive Marker after Plasma Exchange in Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Abstract

Background and Objectives: The platelet (PLT) value in hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is not sufficiently understood. The present study aimed to evaluate the prognostic effect of PLT on the prediction of HBV-ACLF outcomes after plasma exchange (PE). Methods: HBV-ACLF patients treated with PE between January 2017 and August 2021 were followed up for at least 6 months. Cox regression was performed to develop the predictive model, and the model’s performance was analyzed using the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Results: A total of 170 patients were included. The overall survival rate within 180 days was 75.88%. Age, PLT, total bilirubin (TBil), and the iMELD scores were independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients after PE. According to the Cox regression results, the new model was calculated: R = 0.142 × iMELD-0.009 × PLT. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.758 (95% CI 0.678–0.838), and patients with lower PLT-iMELD scores (<4.50) had a better prognosis (p < 0.001). Conclusion: PLT is a valuable prognostic biomarker for HBV-ACLF patients after PE. The modified iMELD model incorporating PLT has a better sensitivity and efficacy in predicting the prognosis of patients.

Construction of a novel prognostic scoring model for HBV-ACLF liver failure based on dynamic data

“…ACLF has become an active area of research due to its rapid onset, rapid progression and poor prognosis. Prognostic scoring models in particular have been continuously investigated and updated by scholars 16 . Current scoring models are mostly based on electronic clinical data entered at the day of admission, even though the development of ACLF is a dynamic process.…”