Planning the European power sector transformation: The REmap modelling framework and its insights

Collins, Seán; Saygin, Deǧer; Deane, Paul; Miketa, Asami; Gutierrez, Laura; Gallachóir, Brian Ó; Gielen, Dolf

doi:10.1016/j.esr.2018.08.011

Cited by 23 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…Based on an analysis of the renewable energy roadmap programme prepared by the International Renewable Energy Agency, valuable findings for the European power sector development were presented by Collins et al [47]. The possibility of meeting 50% of the gross electricity demand in the EU-28 from RES by 2030 and reducing CO 2 emissions by 43% in the power sector, compared to the 2005 level, was confirmed.…”

Section: Deployment Of Resmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Role of Renewable Energy Sources in Dynamics of Energy-Related GHG Emissions in the Baltic States

et al. 2021

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The deployment of renewable energy sources (RES) is an essential strategic objective of sustainable energy development in Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. Their growing contribution to the total primary energy supply can significantly facilitate the transition to a low-carbon economy. The paper provides findings from an in-depth comparative analysis of RES deployment trends during 2010–2019 in the Baltic countries in the context of energy policy documents of the European Union (EU). The dynamics of targeted RES indicators according to the Renewables Directive 2009/28/EC and National Programmes and the role of renewable energies in mitigating climate change are analysed. A key role of the heating and cooling sector in deploying RES is highlighted and a necessity to implement radical changes in the transport sector of the Baltic countries is revealed. The paper examines changes in energy-related greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and the impact of driving factors in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and other countries of the Baltic Sea Region (BSR). The Kaya identity and the logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) method are used for the decomposition analysis. Based on the analysis conducted, the impact of population change, economic growth, decline of energy intensity, RES deployment and reduction of emission intensity on change of GHG emissions in countries of the BSR and, on average, in the EU-27 during 2010–2019 is revealed.

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Section: Deployment Of Resmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Role of Renewable Energy Sources in Dynamics of Energy-Related GHG Emissions in the Baltic States

et al. 2021

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“…The following four cases were simulated for the chosen scenario: (i) with 4.92% loss factor on the GB-Norway link, (ii) without any loss on the link, (iii) hurdle cost of 4.0 e/MWh on imports and exports, and (iv) hurdle cost of 2.5 e/MWh on flows from GB to Norway and 2.9 e/MWh between Norway and GB, respectively. The choice of 4.0 e/MWh in case iii) is taken from [16] where the authors have used this hurdle cost for all interconnectors in their model. The asymmetric hurdle costs used in case iv) are derived by considering the loss factor and average price in each market with detailed explanation provided in Appendix A. for the four cases while Table III reports the average marginal prices in GB and Norway, GB imports, GB exports and utilisation of the link.…”

Section: Impact Of Modelling Hvdc Lossesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the value of increasing GB interconnection

Bukhsh

MacIver

Bell

2021

Electric Power Systems Research

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The liberalisation of electricity markets and increasing penetration of renewable generation are encouraging trading opportunities to be identified and developed. In Europe, the importance of interconnection is well recognised. Interconnections are particularly important for islanded nations, like Great Britain, which provides access to generation and demand across the national boundaries via sub-sea HVDC cables while providing means to share reserves enhancing the security of supply and reducing overall costs. There are plans in place to significantly increase the current 5 GW of interconnection capacity between GB and neighbouring European countries. The paper investigates the expected impacts that a large increase in interconnection capacity could have on key electricity market parameters such as marginal prices, carbon emissions and the nature of utilisation of existing and future GB interconnections. Several scenarios have been considered to model future uncertainty for the years 2020 and 2025.

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“…Applications of the REmap methodology to the energy sector of various countries (see Sgouridis et al, 2016 for the United Arab Emirates, Collins et al, 2018 for the European Union) and comparisons of its results with more complex and dedicated energy models have yielded key insights (see Kempener et al, 2015 for comparison with the national IEA-ETSAP models) where the methodology is found suitable for engaging experts and policy makers in the assessment and For this analysis, we narrowed down the geographical scope to countries of the G20 (excluding the European Union), but extended the time scope to 2050 by using the 2030 regional renewable energy roadmap prepared for the G20 as a starting point (IRENA, 2016d;2017d). 3 G20 countries represent more than three-quarters of the current total installed fossil fuel-based electricity generation capacity and an equal share of the renewable energy deployment potential in the energy sector (G20, 2015).…”

Section: Estimation Of the Electricity Generation Capacity MIX Using mentioning

confidence: 99%

Power sector asset stranding effects of climate policies

Saygin¹,

Rigter²,

Caldecott

et al. 2019

Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy

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Energy sector decarbonization to limit the temperature rise to well-below 2 degrees Celsius will result in stranded assets and capital stock replacement before its technical lifetime ends. In this paper, stranded assets in the global power sector are quantified based on a simplified bottom-up analysis that considers the capital stock turnover of fossil fuel-fired power plants in the G20 countries between 2015 and 2050. Power sector transformation starting now based on accelerated deployment of renewables results in US dollar (USD) 927 billion of global power sector stranded assets by 2050. Stranded coal assets would represent around three-quarters of total stranded assets value and China alone would represent 45% of the total. Delaying action to mitigate climate change until 2030 doubles stranded asset value. Countries should consider assets' age profile characteristics in their decision making. Early action and avoidance of investments in new carbon-intensive assets can minimize stranded asset risks.

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Planning the European power sector transformation: The REmap modelling framework and its insights

Cited by 23 publications

References 21 publications

The Role of Renewable Energy Sources in Dynamics of Energy-Related GHG Emissions in the Baltic States

The Role of Renewable Energy Sources in Dynamics of Energy-Related GHG Emissions in the Baltic States

Assessing the value of increasing GB interconnection

Power sector asset stranding effects of climate policies

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