Cournède. Modelling the interindividual variability of organogenesis in sugar beet populations using a hierarchical segmented model. Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, 2013, 263, pp.56-63. 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2013 Modelling the interindividual variability of organogenesis in sugar beet populations using a hierarchical segmented model
AbstractModelling the interindividual variability in plant populations is a key issue to enhance the predictive capacity of plant growth models at the eld scale. In the case of sugar beet, this variability is well illustrated by rate of leaf appearance, or by its inverse the phyllochron. Indeed, if the mean phyllochron remains stable among seasons, there is a strong variability between individuals, which is not taken into account when using models based only on mean population values.In this paper, we proposed a nonlinear mixed model to assess the variability of the dynamics of leaf appearance in sugar beet crops. the four parameters were signicant. Also, the rupture thermal time was found to be non signicantly correlated to the other three parameters. We compared our piecewise-linear formulation with other formulations such as sigmoïd orGompertz models, but they provided higher AIC and BIC.A method to assess the eects of environmental factors on model parameters was also studied and applied to the comparison of three levels of Nitrogen (control, standard and high dose). Taking into account the IIV, our model showed that plants receiving Nitrogen tended to have a later time of initiation, a higher rate of leaf appearance, and an earlier rupture time, but these dierences were not dose-dependent (no dierences between standard and high dose of Nitrogen). No dierences were found on the leaf appearance rate of the second phase between the three treatments.