bMonte Carlo simulations (MCS) present a powerful tool to evaluate candidate regimens by determining the probability of target attainment. Although these assessments have traditionally incorporated variability in pharmacokinetic (PK) parameters and MICs, consideration of interstrain pharmacodynamic (PD) variability has been neglected. A population PK/PD model was developed for doripenem using murine thigh infection data based on 20 bacterial strains. PK data were fit to a linear two-compartment model with first-order input and elimination processes and an absorption lag time from a separate site (r 2 > 0.96). PK parameters were utilized to simulate free-drug profiles for various regimens in PD studies, from which the percentage of the dosing interval for which free-drug concentrations exceed the MIC of the targeted strain (%fT>MIC) was calculated. Doripenem PD was excellently described with Hill-type models (r 2 > 0.98); significant differences between mean PD estimates determined using a two-stage approach versus population analyses were not observed (P > 0.05); however, the variance in 50% effective concentration (EC 50 ) and maximum effect (E max ) among strains was much greater using the two-stage approach. Even using the population approach, interstrain variability in EC 50 (coefficient of variation expressed as a percentage [CV%] ؍ 29.2%) and H (CV% ؍ 46.1%) parameters was substantive, while the variability in E max (CV% ؍ 19.7%) was modest. This resulted in extensive variability in the range of %fT>MIC targets associated with stasis to those associated with a 2-log 10 reduction in bacterial burden (CV% ϳ 50%). It appears that MCS, based on the assumption that PD variability is due to MIC alone, underestimates variability and may consequently underestimate treatment failures.T he emerging threat posed by multidrug-resistant (MDR) bacterial strains has heightened, necessitating an urgent review of antimicrobial treatment strategies. Carbapenems are synthetic parenteral broad-spectrum -lactam antibiotics, commonly employed as empirical therapy for the treatment of serious nosocomial infections. Doripenem (Doribax; Ortho-McNeil Pharmaceuticals, NJ) (1) is the most recent addition to the carbapenem class and boasts a broad spectrum of activity, providing excellent coverage across a wide range of Gram-positive and -negative bacteria (including MDR and -lactamase-producing strains) as well as anaerobes (2). In comparison to the other carbapenems, doripenem has been credited with several advantages, including enhanced potency, superior stability when reconstituted in standard diluents for infusion (3, 4), and a lower potential to cause seizurerelated toxicities in animal studies (5). The percentage of the dosing interval for which free-drug concentrations exceed the MIC of the targeted strain (i.e., %fTϾMIC) is believed to be the pharmacokinetic (PK)/pharmacodynamic (PD) index most predictive of carbapenem efficacy. The extended stability of doripenem thus makes it a suitable candidate for administration ...