Objective-We screened commonly used prescription drugs for possible carcinogenic effects.Methods-In a large health care program we identified 105 commonly used drugs, not previously screened. Recipients were followed for up to 12½ years for incident cancer. Nested case-control analyses of 55 cancer sites and all combined included up to ten matched controls per case, with lag of at least two years between drug dispensing and cancer. Positive associations entailed a relative risk (RR) of 1.50, with p≤ 0.01 and higher risk for three or more, than for one prescription. Evaluation included further analyses, searches of the literature, and clinical judgment.Results-There were 101 associations of interest for 61 drugs. Sixty-six associations were judged to have involved substantial confounding. We found evidence that of the remaining 35, the following associations may not be due to chance: sulindac with gallbladder cancer and leukemia, hyoscyamine with non-Hodgkin lymphoma, nortriptyline with esophageal and hepatic cancer, oxazepam with lung cancer, both fluoxetine and paroxetine with testicular cancer, hydrochlorothiazide with renal and lip cancer, and nifedipine with lip cancer.Conclusions-These preliminary findings suggest that further studies are indicated regarding sulindac, hyoscyamine, nortriptyline, oxazepam, fluoxetine, paroxetine, hydrochlorothiazide and nifedipine.Many adults and children take medications regularly, yet relatively few drugs have undergone significant long-term post-marketing surveillance for adverse effects, including elevated cancer risk. In September 2006 the Institute of Medicine's Committee on the Assessment of the US Drug Safety System recommended substantial increases in safety studies of marketed drugs (1). [6][7][8][9][10][11][12]. The results of our previous screening studies were cited as providing data on 18 of the drugs evaluated and as the only source of data on humans for 9 of these.With region-wide implementation achieved by August, 1994, the Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program (KPMCP) in northern California employs a Pharmacy Information Management System (PIMS) that records all prescriptions dispensed to its subscribers, now numbering over 3 million. Drawing upon this newer resource and a region-wide cancer registry we have screened for possible carcinogenic effects 105 commonly used drugs that were not studied in the previous smaller database, mostly because they were introduced after 1973. We here present associations that are sufficiently strong and convincing, by both a few screening criteria and further evaluation, that more detailed study is suggested to help differentiate those that are causal from those that are due to unrecognized confounding or simply to chance, given the large number of possible associations generated.
Study population and methods
SettingThe KPMCP is an integrated prepaid health care delivery system that provides comprehensive inpatient and outpatient care, including pharmacy services, to over 3 million current members, who comprise ab...