Abstract:1 We would like to thank without implicating two anonymous referees, the editor Eric van Wincoop, Paul
AbstractThree features of the international exchange rate data that are widely known are: (a) a high correlation between bilateral nominal and real exchange rates; (b) real exchange rate movements are highly persistent; and (c) real exchange rates are highly volatile. This paper attempts a joint, albeit partial, rationalization of these facts in an environment with no staggered contracts and where prices are… Show more
“…Finally, besides the connection with Benigno (2004) and Engel (2012), our paper is related more broadly to the literature that uses dynamic sticky-price models to study the persistence of real exchange rates, such as, among others, Bergin and Feenstra (2001), Kollmann (2001), Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan (2002), Steinsson (2008), Johri and Lahiri (2008), Martínez-García and Søndergaard (2013), and Iversen and Söderström (2014).…”
We study how real exchange rate dynamics are affected by monetary policy in dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium, sticky-price models. Our analytical and quantitative results show that the source of interest rate persistence -policy inertia or persistent policy shocks -is key. In the presence of persistent monetary shocks, increasing policy inertia may decrease real exchange rate persistence, hampering the ability of sticky-price models to generate persistent real exchange rate deviations from parity. When we take the model to the data, the latter favors a policy rule with high shock persistence and low policy inertia.
JEL classification codes: F3, F41, E0
“…Finally, besides the connection with Benigno (2004) and Engel (2012), our paper is related more broadly to the literature that uses dynamic sticky-price models to study the persistence of real exchange rates, such as, among others, Bergin and Feenstra (2001), Kollmann (2001), Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan (2002), Steinsson (2008), Johri and Lahiri (2008), Martínez-García and Søndergaard (2013), and Iversen and Söderström (2014).…”
We study how real exchange rate dynamics are affected by monetary policy in dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium, sticky-price models. Our analytical and quantitative results show that the source of interest rate persistence -policy inertia or persistent policy shocks -is key. In the presence of persistent monetary shocks, increasing policy inertia may decrease real exchange rate persistence, hampering the ability of sticky-price models to generate persistent real exchange rate deviations from parity. When we take the model to the data, the latter favors a policy rule with high shock persistence and low policy inertia.
JEL classification codes: F3, F41, E0
“…As argued by Crucini et al (2010), it is inconsistent with direct estimates available in the literature. 32 Moreover, its implication that sectoral real exchange rates follow AR(1) processes is clearly rejected by the data (see Subsection 6.2).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 96%
“…Our paper is naturally related to the growing literature that focuses on the aggregate implications of heterogeneity in price setting. 3 It contributes to the body of work that uses dynamic sticky-price models to study the persistence of real exchange rates, such as Bergin and Feenstra (2001), Kollman (2001), Chari et al (2002), Benigno (2004), Steinsson (2008), Johri and Lahiri (2008), and Martinez-Garcia and Søndergaard (2008). There is also a connection between the results from our multi-sector model, and the …ndings of the literature on cross-sectional aggregation of time-series processes (e.g.…”
We study the purchasing power parity (PPP) puzzle in a multi-sector, two-country, stickyprice model. Across sectors, …rms di¤er in the extent of price stickiness, in accordance with recent microeconomic evidence on price setting in various countries. Combined with local currency pricing, this leads sectoral real exchange rates to have heterogeneous dynamics. We show analytically that in this economy, deviations of the real exchange rate from PPP are more volatile and persistent than in a counterfactual one-sector world economy that features the same average frequency of price changes, and is otherwise identical to the multi-sector world economy. When simulated with a sectoral distribution of price stickiness that matches the microeconomic evidence for the U.S. economy, the model produces a half-life of deviations from PPP of 39 months. In contrast, the half-life of such deviations in the counterfactual one-sector economy is only slightly above one year. As a by-product, our model provides a decomposition of this di¤erence in persistence that allows a structural interpretation of the di¤erent approaches found in the empirical literature on aggregation and the real exchange rate. In particular, we reconcile the apparently con ‡icting …ndings that gave rise to the "PPP Strikes Back debate"(Imbs et al. 2005a,b and Chen and Engel 2005).
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AbstractWe study the purchasing power parity (PPP) puzzle in a multisector, two-country, sticky-price model. Firms' price stickiness differs across sectors, in accordance with recent microeconomic evidence on price setting in various countries. Combined with local currency pricing, these differences lead sectoral real exchange rates to exhibit heterogeneous dynamics. We show that in this economy, deviations of the real exchange rate from PPP are more volatile and persistent when compared with a counterfactual one-sector world economy that features the same average frequency of price changes and is otherwise identical to the multisector world economy. When simulated with a sectoral distribution of price stickiness that matches the microeconomic evidence for the U.S. economy, the model produces a half-life of deviations from PPP of forty-five months. In contrast, the half-life of such deviations in the counterfactual one-sector economy is only slightly above one year. As a by-product, our model provides a decomposition of this difference in persistence that allows a structural interpretation of the approaches found in the empirical literature on aggregation and the real exchange rate. In particular, we reconcile the apparently conflicting findings that gave rise to the "PPP strikes back" debate (Imbs et al. [2005a, b] and Chen and Engel [2005]).
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