Proceedings of the v International Conference Information Technology and Nanotechnology 2019 2019
DOI: 10.18287/1613-0073-2019-2416-57-62
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Performance comparison of machine learning methods in the bus arrival time prediction problem

Abstract: The problem of predicting the movement of public transport is one of the most popular problems in the field of transport planning due to its practical significance. Various parametric and non-parametric models are used to solve this problem. In this paper, heterogeneous information affecting the prediction value is used to predict the arrival time of public transport, and a comparison of the main machine learning algorithms for the public transport arrival time forecasting is given: neural networks, support ve… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…The modular API is designed to seamlessly integrate a diverse array of machine learning models to enhance threat detection within a private cloud environment. The selected models, including random forest [28,29], support vector machines [28,30], neural networks [31,32], k-nearest neighbors [33,34], decision tree [35,36], stochastic gradient descent [37,38], naive Bayes [39,40], logistic regression [41,42], gradient boosting [41,[43][44][45] and AdaBoost [46], each bring unique capabilities to the framework. Random forest's robustness is rigorously assessed for identifying network anomalies, while support vector machines focus on precise threat identification with minimal false positives.…”
Section: Machine Learning Model Evaluationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The modular API is designed to seamlessly integrate a diverse array of machine learning models to enhance threat detection within a private cloud environment. The selected models, including random forest [28,29], support vector machines [28,30], neural networks [31,32], k-nearest neighbors [33,34], decision tree [35,36], stochastic gradient descent [37,38], naive Bayes [39,40], logistic regression [41,42], gradient boosting [41,[43][44][45] and AdaBoost [46], each bring unique capabilities to the framework. Random forest's robustness is rigorously assessed for identifying network anomalies, while support vector machines focus on precise threat identification with minimal false positives.…”
Section: Machine Learning Model Evaluationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In delay time prediction, the target attribute is the delay time, which is the difference between the observed and planned travel time ( 6 ). In speed prediction, the target attribute is the future speed of the bus on a given segment of the route ( 56 ).…”
Section: Problems and Solutions Retrieved From The Literature Related...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The travel time prediction, arrival time prediction, delay time prediction, and speed prediction solutions are considered equivalent because when predicting the target attribute by one of these models, it is possible to obtain the corresponding target attribute expected by the other models. For example, Agafonov and Yumaganov ( 56 ) and Zheng et al ( 57 ) used a speed predictor to predict the bus speed on a segment and thus indirectly obtain the bus’s travel time or arrival time. Thus, these solutions were grouped, and the name travel time prediction was adopted in this paper to refer to this group of equivalent solutions.…”
Section: Categorizing the Retrieved Solutionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…(Berbey et al 2012;Hu et al 2016;Hagenauer and Helbich 2017). Naturally, a study may use both historical and realtime data (Agafonov and Yumaganov 2019). Sensor data and questionnaire data represent data that have been collected using different types of sensors (e.g., position data, temperature data, video data) or questionnaires (e.g., concerning user behaviour, conditions and opinions).…”
Section: Data Needsmentioning
confidence: 99%