Background
Long-term course of optic neuritis is heterogeneous and varies across populations. We aim to investigate immune-related determinants that predict conversion of optic neuritis (ON) to multiple sclerosis (MS) or neuromyelitis optica (NMO) in a nationwide cohort.
Methods
We conducted the population-based cohort study using data from Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database. Incident ON cases during 2003~2014 were followed until the end of 2015. Pediatric and adult sub-cohorts were examined separately. The associations between immune-related comorbidities or treatment and outcomes were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models.
Results
A total of 11923 adult and 1365 pediatric ON patients were enrolled. The rates of conversion to MS were 2.7% for adult and 3.1% for pediatric ON with median follow-up duration of 6.3 and 7.3 years respectively, while 1.2% of pediatric and adult ON evolved to NMO. Comorbid systemic lupus erythematosus was associated with increased risks of subsequent development of MS in adult (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.80; 95% CI, 1.04-7.49) and pediatric ON patients (aHR, 21.65; 95% CI, 1.29-363.4). Adult ON patients were at increased risks of NMO if comorbid with myasthenia gravis (aHR, 9.13; 95% CI, 1.20-69.45) or Sjogren’s syndrome (aHR, 4.71; 95% CI, 1.74-12.76).
Conclusion
ON could be the sentinel event linking several peripheral autoimmune comorbidities to distinct forms of central nervous system demyelination. The clinical context in which ON occurs should be taken into account in the care and counseling of these patients.