Past and future plant diversity of a coastal wetland driven by soil subsidence and climate change

Dobben, H.F. van; Slim, P.A.

doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0118-5

Cited by 18 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…The changes were generally small during the observation period (1986)(1987)(1988)(1989)(1990)(1991)(1992)(1993)(1994)(1995)(1996)(1997)(1998)(1999)(2000)(2001), but the regression model suggests large changes by 2100 that are almost exclusively due to SLR. Although SLR is expected to cause a loss of plant species, this does not necessarily imply a decrease in nature conservation interest; while common species may be lost rarer species may persist (Van Dobben and Slim 2012).…”

Section: 64mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Environmental Impacts—Coastal Ecosystems

Bakker

Baas

Bartholdy

et al. 2016

North Sea Region Climate Change Assessment

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This chapter examines the impacts of climate change on the natural coastal ecosystems in the North Sea region. These comprise sandy shores and dunes and salt marshes in estuaries and along the coast. The chapter starts by describing the characteristic geomorphological features of these systems and the importance of sediment transport. Consideration is then given to the role of bioengineering organisms in feedback relationships with substrate, how changes in physical conditions such as embankments affect coastal systems, and the effects of livestock. The effects of climate change-principally accelerated sea-level rise, and changes in the wind climate, temperature and precipitation-on these factors affecting coastal ecosystems are then discussed. Although the focus of this chapter is on the interaction of abiotic conditions and the vegetation, the potential impacts of climate change on the distribution of plant species and on birds breeding in salt marshes is also addressed. Climate impacts on birds, mammals and fish species are covered in other chapters.

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Section: 64mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The empirical range of critical atmospheric nitrogen deposition for 'Pioneer and low-mid salt marshes' has been adjusted in the most recent review (Bobbink et al 2010 Dobben and Slim 2012). Accelerated SLR will have impacts perpendicular to the coastline.…”

Section: Precipitation and Temperaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental Impacts—Coastal Ecosystems

Bakker

Baas

Bartholdy

et al. 2016

North Sea Region Climate Change Assessment

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“…A key question is whether natural sedimentation will keep up with sea level rise or whether the tidal marshes will disappear, significantly changing the character of the Wadden Sea (Oost et al 2009, van Dobben andSlim 2012). To compensate for sea level rise, more sediment is needed in the Wadden Sea , Oost et al 2009).…”

Section: Climatic Conditions For Reaching Thresholdsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Turning points in climate change adapatation

Werners¹,

Slobbe²,

Bölscher³

et al. 2015

E&S

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ABSTRACT. Concerned decision makers increasingly pose questions as to whether current management practices are able to cope with climate change and increased climate variability. This signifies a shift in the framing of climate change from asking what its potential impacts are to asking whether it induces policy failure and unacceptable change. In this paper, we explore the background, feasibility, and consequences of this new framing. We focus on the specific situation in which a social-political threshold of concern is likely to be exceeded as a result of climate change, requiring consideration of alternative strategies. Action is imperative when such a situation is conceivable, and at this point climate change becomes particularly relevant to decision makers. We call this situation an "adaptation turning point." The assessment of adaptation turning points converts uncertainty surrounding the extent of a climate impact into a time range over which it is likely that specific thresholds will be exceeded. This can then be used to take adaptive action. Despite the difficulty in identifying adaptation turning points and the relative newness of the approach, experience so far suggests that the assessment generates a meaningful dialogue between stakeholders and scientists. Discussion revolves around the amount of change that is acceptable; how likely it is that unacceptable, or more favorable, conditions will be reached; and the adaptation pathways that need to be considered under these circumstances. Defining and renegotiating policy objectives under climate change are important topics in the governance of adaptation.

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“…In addition, the combination of projected sea level rise, storm occurrence and heavier storm surges can affect channel formation, undermine sea defences and compromise the safety of ports and industry in areas outside the sea defences. Soil subsidence adds to the relative sea level rise (Dobben and Slim 2012;Oost et al 2010).…”

Section: Potential Climate Change Impacts On Safetymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A key factor is whether natural sedimentation of the mudflats and tidal marshes will keep up with sea level rise or whether they will drown, significantly changing the character of the Wadden Sea. A contributing factor is that at many places, dykes, artificial dune rows and other human intervention limit autonomous adaptation such as sedimentation on the islands and a landward shift of the salt marshes (Dobben and Slim 2012;Oost et al 2012).…”

Section: Potential Climate Change Impacts On Naturementioning

confidence: 99%

Method selection in adaptation research: the case of the Delta Programme for the Dutch Wadden region

2015

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Many methods are available to support adaptation planning. Yet there is little guidance on their selection. A recently developed diagnostic framework offers a structured set of criteria to choose research methods for specific adaptation questions. It has been derived from science-driven cases mostly. This paper offers the first application to a policy-driven case. Thus, it aims to (1) assess the descriptive quality of the framework for adaptation planning and (2) reflect on its value in supporting method selection. The paper focuses on the research commissioned for adaptation policymaking by the Dutch Delta Programme in the Wadden region. It compares the research methods used in the Delta Programme with those suggested by the diagnostic framework. It concludes that the selection of methods in the adaptation planning process can be described quite well by the decision trees of the diagnostic framework. Deviations occurred mostly for pragmatic reasons when the selection is informed by practical limitations of the policymaking process, such as available resources, time constraints and experience of the involved experts. It is recommended to enrich the diagnostic framework with methods from adaptation practice and consult it in climate adaptation studies at an early stage.

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Past and future plant diversity of a coastal wetland driven by soil subsidence and climate change

Cited by 18 publications

References 21 publications

Environmental Impacts—Coastal Ecosystems

Environmental Impacts—Coastal Ecosystems

Turning points in climate change adapatation

Method selection in adaptation research: the case of the Delta Programme for the Dutch Wadden region

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