Party commitment, vote switching and liberal decline in Australia

McAllister, Ian; Mughan, Anthony

doi:10.1080/00323268708402016

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 13 publications

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“…Yet it is perfectly possible for continuity in party systems to coexist with substantial fluidity among individuals. Indeed, McAllister and Mughan (1987), using the same survey data as Aitkin, argue that individual volatility increased between 1967 and 1979. This claim fits better with the decline of class evidence and with recent research at the aggregate level suggesting that the Australian party system has become more competitive in the period between 1949 and 1987 (Bean and Mughan 1988).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 94%

Partisan stability and short‐term change in the 1987 federal election: Evidence from the NSSS panel survey

Bean

Kelley

1988

Politics

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This article brings new evidence to bear on two old questions and two new ones. First, we analyse cross-sectional voting patterns in the five federal elections between 1977 and 1987. We find that the effects of class and party remain remarkably stable over this decade, which suggests that the much touted decline of class from World War II into the 1970s may have bottomed out by the 1980s. Second, we show that individual voting patterns are also remarkably stable, if anything more stable than in the 1960s; there is no sign of the increase in electoral volatility found in other English speaking countries. Third, we analyse changes over the last parliament, between-the 1984 and 1987 elections. We find that changes in voters' views in this period are influenced mainly by changes in their opinion of the key political leaders, not by their class, ideology, or opinions on the issues of the day. Finally, we investigate what would have happened if the opposition's leaders had been as popular as Labor's. Our estimates imply that the opposition would probably then have won the election. These analyses are based on new data from the National Social Science Survey's 1987 Panel Survey, a representative national sample of 1311 cases in all states and territories.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 94%

Partisan stability and short‐term change in the 1987 federal election: Evidence from the NSSS panel survey

Bean

Kelley

1988

Politics

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Intra- and extra-familial political socialization: The Australian case and changes over time, 1967–1990

Marks

1993

Electoral Studies

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The Formation and Development of Party Loyalties: Patterns among Australian Immigrants

McAllister¹,

Makkai²

1991

The Australian and New Zealand Journal of Sociology

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The loyalties voters feel towards political parties are central to the stability of democratic systems. Political socialisation theories explain these loyalties through parental inheritance. This paper analyses the consequences for party loyalties when parental in heritance is absent, through an examination of partisanship among Australian immigrants. Three hypotheses to explain immigrant par tisanship — withdrawal, economic self-interest, and re-socialisation are tested using a large national survey conducted among immi grants in 1988. The results support the withdrawal and economic self-interest hypotheses, but reject the re-socialisation hypothesis. The relative periods of time spent in the donor and host societies do not appear to have any influence on partisanship. Lacking the affect ive bond to parties provided by parental political socialisation, immigrants appear able to change their party loyalties relatively easily, as studies of ethnic voting in Australia have shown.

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Party commitment, vote switching and liberal decline in Australia

Cited by 3 publications

References 13 publications

Partisan stability and short‐term change in the 1987 federal election: Evidence from the NSSS panel survey

Partisan stability and short‐term change in the 1987 federal election: Evidence from the NSSS panel survey

Intra- and extra-familial political socialization: The Australian case and changes over time, 1967–1990

The Formation and Development of Party Loyalties: Patterns among Australian Immigrants

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