Climate change has been identified as a causal factor for diverse ecological changes worldwide. Warming trends over the last couple of decades have coincided with the collapse of long-term population cycles in a broad range of taxa, although causal mechanisms are not well-understood. Larch budmoth (LBM) population dynamics across the European Alps, a classic example of regular outbreaks, inexplicably changed sometime during the 1980s after 1,200 y of nearly uninterrupted periodic outbreak cycles. Herein, analysis of perhaps the most extensive spatiotemporal dataset of population dynamics and reconstructed Alpine-wide LBM defoliation records reveals elevational shifts in LBM outbreak epicenters that coincide with temperature fluctuations over two centuries. A population model supports the hypothesis that temperature-mediated shifting of the optimal elevation for LBM population growth is the mechanism for elevational epicenter changes. Increases in the optimal elevation for population growth over the warming period of the last century to near the distributional limit of host larch likely dampened population cycles, thereby causing the collapse of a millennium-long outbreak cycle. The threshold-like change in LBM outbreak pattern highlights how interacting species with differential response rates to climate change can result in dramatic ecological changes.traveling wave | tree rings | tri-trophic | Lepidoptera | parasitoids C limate change affects biotic systems in a number of ways, including elevational species range shifts (1), changes in phenology (2), extinction (3), and altered results of biotic interactions such as with competitors and natural enemies (4, 5). Global warming has recently been implicated in elevational range shifts of plants (1, 6) and animals (7, 8) at various spatiotemporal scales (9). Range shifts are often slow and may lag behind climate changes, and thus, effects of recent warming may not yet be observable (10). Patterns of population dynamics within an established range, however, should respond more quickly to external forcing, sometimes within several generations. Over the last few decades, regional scale warming trends have coincided with the collapse of population cycles across a broad range of taxa, leading to the hypothesis that such collapses are the result of climatic forcing (11,12). However, a mechanistic understanding of cycle collapses has proven to be challenging because of limited long-term data on cyclical populations. Most such records are restricted to only a few population cycles-too few to robustly confirm changes in dynamical behavior and attribute them to causal factors.Larch budmoth [LBM; Zeiraphera diniana Gn. (Lepidoptera: Torticidae)] population dynamics are a classic example of regular population cycles (13), because outbreaks have occurred periodically, almost without fail, every 8-10 y since A.D. 800 (14). The oscillations span a remarkable five orders of magnitude between population density peaks and troughs (13). Spatiotemporal patterns of 20th century LBM out...