Pandemic responses in vulnerable communities: a simulation-oriented approach

Rodrigues, Vinícius Picanço; Oliveira, Igor Czermainski de; Chaves, Gisele de Lorena Diniz; Aquino, Ellen Larissa de Carvalho; Viegas, Cláudia Viviane

doi:10.1590/0034-761220200250x

Cited by 12 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 10 publications

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“…Social distance, among some 6068 non-pharmaceutical interventions, is the most effective method adopted by leaders around the world, presenting a major impact on decreasing transmission rate

[ 14 ]. As it turns out, the dilemma to adopt social distance in socioeconomically disadvantaged areas such as slums is difficult to assess [ 15 , 16 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

National Holidays and Social Mobility Behaviors: Alternatives for Forecasting COVID-19 Deaths in Brazil

Aragão

Santos

Gonçalves

2021

IJERPH

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In this paper, we investigate the influence of holidays and community mobility on the transmission rate and death count of COVID-19 in Brazil. We identify national holidays and hallmark holidays to assess their effect on disease reports of confirmed cases and deaths. First, we use a one-variate model with the number of infected people as input data to forecast the number of deaths. This simple model is compared with a more robust deep learning multi-variate model that uses mobility and transmission rates (R0, Re) from a SEIRD model as input data. A principal components model of community mobility, generated by the principal component analysis (PCA) method, is added to improve the input features for the multi-variate model. The deep learning model architecture is an LSTM stacked layer combined with a dense layer to regress daily deaths caused by COVID-19. The multi-variate model incremented with engineered input features can enhance the forecast performance by up to 18.99% compared to the standard one-variate data-driven model.

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“…Social distance, among some 6068 non-pharmaceutical interventions, is the most effective method adopted by leaders around the world, presenting a major impact on decreasing transmission rate

[ 14 ]. As it turns out, the dilemma to adopt social distance in socioeconomically disadvantaged areas such as slums is difficult to assess [ 15 , 16 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

National Holidays and Social Mobility Behaviors: Alternatives for Forecasting COVID-19 Deaths in Brazil

Aragão

Santos

Gonçalves

2021

IJERPH

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“…The persistent lack of coordinated national health policies, political conflicts between the president and health authorities, high level of regional fragmentation, and asymmetries in the SUS and private healthcare systems have shaped the dominant sociotechnical imaginary. Due to the lack of adequate measures in vulnerable communities (Rodrigues et al, 2020), collective mitigation measures became difficult. While the imaginaries described in the Brazilian case can also be seen somewhat in the United Kingdom and the United States, we found that the idea of 'living with the virus' and the attribution of responsibility to the individual was most pronounced in Brazil early on in the pandemic.…”

Section: Brazil: 'Take Care Of Yourself' and The Individualisation Of...mentioning

confidence: 99%

The Blind Spots of Sociotechnical Imaginaries: COVID-19 Scepticism in Brazil, the United Kingdom and the United States

Silva

2022

Science, Technology and Society

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During the first wave of the coronavirus pandemic in 2020, experts and policymakers mobilised various slogans to compel the public to help defeat COVID-19. By comparing Brazil, the United Kingdom and the United States, this study shows how dominant sociotechnical imaginaries tied to the slogans were mobilised. We argue that the blind spots of these dominant sociotechnical imaginaries contributed to subversive sociotechnical imaginaries and made room for COVID-19 scepticism. In Brazil, calls to ‘take care of yourself’ contributed to a sceptical stance that individualised responsibility. In the United Kingdom, calls to ‘protect the NHS’ contributed to sceptical accusations of whataboutism and the neglect of other vital social institutions during the lockdown. In the United States, calls to ‘flatten the curve’ contributed to scepticism that challenged public health interventions through discourses of individual choice and freedom. By paying attention to the blind spots of dominant sociotechnical imaginaries, we argue that experts and policymakers should be sensitive to how public health messaging may have feedback effects that detract from the initial aims of interventions.

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“…Such studies can at least be categorized into four different groups. The first group is the studies on the analysis of activities supporting solidarity and social bond in dealing with the effect of pandemic (Muqsith et al, 2021;Pedrosa et al, 2020;Rodrigues et al, 2020). The second group deals with the relevance of a movement such as #stay at home and social distancing to lessen the spread of covid in the middle of pandemic (Blum et al, 2021;Bourassa et al, 2020;Geng et al, 2020).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Strategy of Social Movement by the Community of Football Supporters amidst Pandemic Era

Harjo¹,

Rifaj²,

Tarosur³

2022

Proceedings of the First International Conference on Democracy and Social Transformation, ICON-DEMOST 2021, September 15, 2021,

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Among the government regulations towards health protocol in pandemic time that leads to the restriction of collective activities of civil society organizations, Aremania football supporters have performed more actions to insist on achieving their objectives. The objective is to remove dual managements in Arema football club in Malang city. This study aims at revealing the ongoing efforts of Aremania to maintain their social movements and some changes made to adjust the current pandemic situation. The study implements the concept of social movement and qualitative method to explore the data. The finding of this investigation unveils the more massive movements demonstrated by Aremania and it is based on several facts. First of all, Aremania performs collective actions online and offline to some parties to show the emphasis on their goal. Second, to substitute the prohibited street protest, Aremania arranges a music performance in shopping centers and then upload it to social media platforms. Lastly, Aremania takes advance of the conventional and social media to disseminate information to public in order to reach the target. These attempts are committed as a strategy to negotiate the government's policy on avoiding contact with crowd in the middle of pandemic. Aremania negotiates the policy by conducting collective action in social media and shopping mall in hope that they will not face any obstacles in accomplishing the goal from the government. The strategy has a purpose to gain attention from both Aremania and the two managements of Arema to work on the union of Arema Indonesia and Arema Football Club. To conclude, the findings of the study present the changes of social movement in terms of forms and instruments in order to reach the goal amidst the pandemic era.

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Pandemic responses in vulnerable communities: a simulation-oriented approach

Cited by 12 publications

References 10 publications

National Holidays and Social Mobility Behaviors: Alternatives for Forecasting COVID-19 Deaths in Brazil

National Holidays and Social Mobility Behaviors: Alternatives for Forecasting COVID-19 Deaths in Brazil

The Blind Spots of Sociotechnical Imaginaries: COVID-19 Scepticism in Brazil, the United Kingdom and the United States

Strategy of Social Movement by the Community of Football Supporters amidst Pandemic Era

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