P2778Geographic variability in the decline of the incidence of fatal and non-fatal stroke: a statewide study

Abstract

Background/Introduction There is scant information on the geographic variability in the rate of stroke incidence as it relates to the demographics, comorbidities, risk factors, and insurance type. Purpose/Methods County-level data on four modifiable groups of health factors including healthy behaviors, clinical care, physical environment, and socioeconomic conditions were obtained from the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. The percentage of persons 65 years or older, smokers, physically inactive, obese, diabetics, heavy drinkers, college graduates, low income, unemployed, uninsured heads of single parent households, and residence in areas of violent crime was used in predicting fatal or non-fatal stroke. The counties were lumped into 5 categories based on similarities of the above characteristics. The incidence of fatal and non-fatal stroke was compared among the 5 county clusters using a mixed-effects regression model. Results The incidence of fatal and non-fatal stroke was significantly lower (p<0.0001) in cluster 3, where residents had higher income, were better educated, and were less likely to be unemployed, to live in single parent households, to have diabetes, to be obese, to smoke, to be physically inactive, or to live in communities with violent crime. The percentage of persons older than 65, violent crime rate, and obesity were identified as significant predictors of stroke using a mixed-effects regression model. Conclusions This study indicates that the incidence of stroke is higher in areas with older population, higher rate of obesity, and in regions with more violent crime. In order to improve health outcomes, preventive measures for stroke should address environmental factors in addition to the known cardiovascular risk factors. Acknowledgement/Funding Robert Wood Johnson Foundation