Outward Foreign Direct Investment and Domestic Output: Evidence from East Asian Economies

Abstract

This study evaluates the impact of outward foreign direct investment (FDI) on domestic output of East Asian economies. It focuses on FDI from eight East Asian economies to Japan, the United States and United Kingdom. The analyses are carried out using annual data at both aggregate and disaggregate level for the 1981-2010 period. The result using aggregate data reveal that there is no evidence to support the idea that outward FDI is growth-enhancing. However, the results based on disaggregate data shows that only outward FDI to the United States are found to benefit East Asian economies. Meanwhile, investments in Japan and the United Kingdom do not appear to have any positive impact. These findings suggest that locational decision for outward FDI is critically important as not all destinations will bring positive benefits for the source countries. ABSTRAK Kajian ini menilai impak pelaburan langsung asing (FDI) ke atas keluaran domestik ekonomi Asia Timur. Ia memberi tumpuan kepada FDI dari lapan ekonomi Asia Timur ke Jepun, Amerika Syarikat dan United Kingdom. Analisis dijalankan menggunakan data tahunan pada tahap agregat dan bukan agregat bagi tempoh 1981-2010. Hasil kajian menggunakan data agregat mendedahkan bahawa tidak ada bukti yang menyokong idea bahawa FDI keluar meningkatkan pertumbuhan. Walau bagaimanapun, keputusan berdasarkan data bukan agregat menunjukkan bahawa hanya FDI ke negara Amerika Syarikat didapati memberi manfaat kepada ekonomi Asia Timur. Sementara itu, pelaburan di Jepun dan United Kingdom kelihatan tidak mempunyai kesan positif. Penemuan ini menunjukkan bahawa keputusan pemilihan lokasi untuk FDI keluar adalah sangat penting kerana tidak semua destinasi akan memberi manfaat positif kepada negara sumber.