Optimization of risk assessment in renewable energy of Russia by applying statistical calculations of climatic characteristics and GIS technologies

Abstract

Based on the characteristics of the renewable energy sources (RES), current states and also Russia uses the analysis of emerging risks and their management methods for avoiding this problem. The analysis of methodological approaches to assessing emerging risks in the implementation of electricity generation projects based on various types of renewable energy sources is carried out. The problems of assessing the natural resource risks of using renewable energy in the Russian Federation in relation to the climatic regionalization of the territory are examined. The most representative parameters of the ecological and geographical component for assessing the degree of risk by using renewable energy are highlighted. The authors propose a methodology for assessing the degree of risk for using solar resources based on the characteristics calculated of the influx variability for solar radiation to the earth's surface, by assessing and mapping the level of natural resource risks. The levels of resource risks in solar energy development for some regions of Russia were estimated. The paper presents maps of areas with different risk levels in Russia.