Optimization of prediction methods for patents and trademarks in Spain through the use of exogenous variables

Nuchera, Antonio Hidalgo; Gabaly, Samuel

doi:10.1016/j.wpi.2012.12.009

Cited by 10 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 13 publications

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“…The years where there is a lower numbers of grants are relatively many more when compared to the years with higher numbers of patents. Several studies have shown that it is possible to model the series of patents with ARIMA [41][42][43][44]. Some satisfactory model adjustments can be required to decrease the model residuals.…”

Section: Methods and The Case Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of Clean Air Act on Patenting Activities in Chemical Industry: Learning from Past Experiences

Durmuşoğlu

2017

Sustainability

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Abstract:The chemical industry provides essential goods we use in our daily lives and key ingredients for many diverse industries. On the other hand, their production and use require serious attention while they may be seriously harmful to local air quality. The Clean Air Act (CAA) and its subsequent amendments regulate the emissions of hazardous air pollutants to protect public health and welfare in the U.S.A. since 1970. This study aimed to assess the impact of CAA on the rate of patenting in the chemical industry. With this in mind, basic chemical utility patents were analyzed to detect the effects of CAA on the patenting activities. Subsequent to the fitting of the ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model (producing the least square of errors), a significant outlier was detected with the Dixon's r22 Ratio Test. This outlier was the number of patents granted in 1972. Contextual queries in the text of those patent documents have shown that there was a considerable increase in the patents of chemistry which takes the sustainability relevant terms (air, emission, pollution, etc.) into consideration. It was concluded that companies in the chemistry industry adapted themselves very rapidly to the changes and CAA was an important incentive to create novel technologies.

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Section: Methods and The Case Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of Clean Air Act on Patenting Activities in Chemical Industry: Learning from Past Experiences

Durmuşoğlu

2017

Sustainability

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“…It has been conducted to evaluate different methods for predicting national patent and trademark applications in the short and medium term for resource planning at the Spanish Patent and Trademark Office and other patent offices, including exogenous variables and predictors. Several advanced prediction models' performances were compared in the analysis, including an ARIMA model with automatic estimation of coefficients, a Simple econometric model with a predictive lag variable, a Polynomial Distributed Lag model, and an Intelligent Transfer Function (Hidalgo and Gabaly, 2013). Patent data was utilized to study Persian lime's technological life cycle trajectory and present status (Martínez-Ardila et al, 2022).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

COVID-19 Pandemic and Technological Change: Analysis of Patent Applications

YILDIRIM>

2023

Verimlilik Dergisi

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Purpose: , This study is aimed to measure Covid-19's impact on innovation and monitor technical change during the Pandemic through patent applications Methodology: Patent application annual total number of European Patent Office patent applications data on 35 different technological disciplines separated into five key categories from 2012 to 2021 were utilized in the analysis The Prophet forecasting model to forecast patent applications for 2020 and 2021 has been developed. The technological advancements and Pandemic impact on innovation were then analyzed using the realized and forecasted values. Findings: The study's findings indicate no apparent difference between actual numbers and forecasted values. In 2020 and 2021, more patent applications than predicted were filed in 15 technical fields and 16 technological domains, respectively. The study also found that semiconductors, audio-visual, and nanotechnology advancements have been notable during the Pandemic. Originality: The originality of this study lies in the use of the Prophet forecasting model based on EPO patent application values in the analysis of the effects of the pandemic on innovation and technological change for 35 different technological disciplines. Keywords: Technological Change, Innovation, Patent, Prophet model, Covid-19. JEL Codes: O30,O33,C22

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“…Trademarks are often used to analyze commercial business competences of countries. A trademark is a sign capable of distinguishing the goods or services of one enterprise from those of other enter prises (Mendonca et al 2004, Hidalgo andGabaly 2013). Patents and trademarks are also used as barriers to entry in markets (see e.g.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Benchmarking Analysis of Patent and Trademark Applications in the European Union: Comprehensive Innovation Policy Evaluation for Years 1960-2013

Kaivo‐oja

2016

EurInsStud

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This study provides benchmarking analysis of patent and trademark applications in the European Union. The objectives of benchmarking are (1) to determine what and where improvements are called for, (2) to analyze how other nations achieve their high performance levels, and (3) to use this information to improve performance in favor of the EU Internal Market. The benchmarking study provides benchmarking results about (1) patent applications of residents and nonresidents, (2) trademark applications of residents and nonresidents, (3) total patent ap plications, and (4) total trademark applications. The study also provides benchmarking analyses about patent and trademark application in relation to population and gross domestic product. The results of benchmarking cover the time period 1960-2013. The study provides some com parative statistical analyses and discusses whether there has been convergence in patent and trademark activity in the European Union. The study identifies top 10 champions in the different categories of patent and trademark activity. Key results will be reported in the forms of descrip tive statistics, Pareto charts, and key statistical indicators. Some special indicators of innovation activity will be reported. The study provides some policy relevant results for the EU Internal Market development.

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Optimization of prediction methods for patents and trademarks in Spain through the use of exogenous variables

Cited by 10 publications

References 13 publications

Effects of Clean Air Act on Patenting Activities in Chemical Industry: Learning from Past Experiences

Effects of Clean Air Act on Patenting Activities in Chemical Industry: Learning from Past Experiences

COVID-19 Pandemic and Technological Change: Analysis of Patent Applications

Benchmarking Analysis of Patent and Trademark Applications in the European Union: Comprehensive Innovation Policy Evaluation for Years 1960-2013

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