Optimization of Energy Consumption in Chemical Production Based on Descriptive Analytics and Neural Network Modeling

Abstract

Improving the energy efficiency of chemical industries and increasing their environmental friendliness requires an assessment of the parameters of consumption and losses of energy resources. The aim of the study is to develop and test a method for solving the problem of optimizing the use of energy resources in chemical production based on the methodology of descriptive statistics and training of neural networks. Research methods: graphic and tabular tools for descriptive data analysis to study the dynamics of the structure of energy carriers and determine possible reserves for reducing their consumption; correlation analysis with the construction of scatter diagrams to identify the dependences of the range of limit values of electricity consumption on the average rate of energy consumption; a method for training neural networks to predict the optimal values of energy consumption; methods of mathematical optimization and standardization. The authors analyzed the trends in the energy intensity of chemical industries with an assessment of the degree of transformation of the structure of the energy portfolio and possible reserves for reducing the specific weight of electrical and thermal energy; determined the dynamics of energy losses at Russian industrial enterprises; established the correlation dependence of the range of limiting values of power consumption on the average rate of power consumption; determined the optimal limiting limits of the norms for the loss of electrical energy by the example of rubbers of solution polymerization. The results of the study can be used in the development of software complexes for intelligent energy systems that allow tracking the dynamics of consumption and losses of energy resources. Using the results allows you to determine the optimal parameters of energy consumption and identify reserves for improving energy efficiency.

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Forecasting the Energy Capacity of Petrochemical Productions Under Conditions of Technological Transformations

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