2007
DOI: 10.1017/s0022109000004129
|View full text |Cite
|
Sign up to set email alerts
|

Optimal Portfolio Choice with Parameter Uncertainty

Abstract: In this paper, we analytically derive the expected loss function associated with using sample means and the covariance matrix of returns to estimate the optimal portfolio. Our analytical results show that the standard plug-in approach that replaces the population parameters by their sample estimates can lead to very poor out-of-sample performance. We further show that with parameter uncertainty, holding the sample tangency portfolio and the riskless asset is never optimal. An investor can benefit by holding so… Show more

Help me understand this report

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...
2
1
1
1

Citation Types

11
406
0
5

Year Published

2011
2011
2018
2018

Publication Types

Select...
5
2

Relationship

0
7

Authors

Journals

citations
Cited by 590 publications
(439 citation statements)
references
References 31 publications
11
406
0
5
Order By: Relevance
“…Regarding Tu and Zhou (2011), we consider the optimal combination of the 1/N rule and the sample tangency portfolio, and the optimal combination of the 1/N rule and the portfolio in Kan and Zhou (2007), because they are the only ones analytically tractable and considered in more recent literature such as Moorman (2014). We also exclude portfolios rules that do not require optimization and covariance matrix inversion, the two most notable characteristics of the mean-variance portfolios, such as the ones in Kirby and Ostdiek (2012).…”
Section: Portfolio Rulesmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 3 more Smart Citations
“…Regarding Tu and Zhou (2011), we consider the optimal combination of the 1/N rule and the sample tangency portfolio, and the optimal combination of the 1/N rule and the portfolio in Kan and Zhou (2007), because they are the only ones analytically tractable and considered in more recent literature such as Moorman (2014). We also exclude portfolios rules that do not require optimization and covariance matrix inversion, the two most notable characteristics of the mean-variance portfolios, such as the ones in Kirby and Ostdiek (2012).…”
Section: Portfolio Rulesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Kan and Zhou's (2007) Three-Fund Rule ("Kan-Zhou") If the estimation errors of two risky portfolios are not perfectly correlated, one can reduce the estimation errors by combining them. Kan and Zhou (2007) propose using the sample global minimum-variance portfolio to reduce estimation risk for the sample tangency portfolio.…”
Section: Mixture Of Minimum-variance and The 1/n Portfolio ("Ew-min")mentioning
confidence: 99%
See 2 more Smart Citations
“…Especially, in contrast to other studies (DeMiguel et al, 2009a,b) we take the risk-free asset into consideration. This is extremely important since Tobin's two-fund separation theorem breaks down in the presence of estimation risk (Kan & Zhou, 2007). 4.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%