“…There has been much interest in being able to predict success and to improve effectiveness of microbial biocontrol. For example, models have been used to investigate disease dynamics ( Carruthers et al , 1988( Carruthers et al , , 1992Briggs and Godfray, 1995;Larkin et al , 1995 ), application method and factors influencing disease prevalence ( Hajek et al , 1993;Barlow et al , 2000;Scanlan et al , 2001;Fenton et al , 2002 ), to identify pathogens with the greatest potential ( Nowierski et al , 1996;Feng et al , 1998 ), and to examine short-and long-term infection patterns after spray application ( Thomas et al , 1995;Thomas et al , 1999 ). However, there has been very little attention to factors determining virulence and, to our knowledge, this is the first model that quantitatively captures variability in the speed of kill of a pathogen in different field environments.…”