The West Florida Shelf (WFS) is a source of uncertainty for the Gulf of Mexico carbon budget.Data from the synthesis of approximately 135,000 pCO 2 values from 97 cruises from the WFS show that the shelf waters fluctuate between being a weak source to a weak sink of carbon. Overall, the shelf acts as a weak source of CO 2 at 0.32 ± 1.5 mol m À2 yr À1 . Subregions, however, reveal slightly different trends, where surface waters associated with 40-200-m isobath in the northern and southern WFS are generally weak sinks all year, except for summer when they act as sources of CO 2 . Conversely, nearshore waters (<40 m) are a source of CO 2 , particularly the southern shallow waters, which are a source all year round. The pCO 2 of seawater has been increasing at a rate of approximately 4.37 μatm/year as compared to atmospheric pCO 2 which has increased at a rate of about 1.7 μatm per year from 1996 to 2016. The annual CO 2 flux has increased from À0.78 to 0.92 mol m À2 yr À1 on the shelf from 1996-2016. The WFS is emitting 9.23 Tg C/year, with the southern nearshore region emitting the most at 9.01 Tg C/year and the northern region acting as a sink of À1.96 Tg C/year. Aragonite saturation state on the WFS shows seasonal and geographic trends with values ranging from 2 to 5. Lowest values are found in winter associated with subregion <40-m isobath.Plain Language Summary The West Florida Shelf (WFS) is a source of uncertainty for determining the Gulf of Mexico carbon budget and how surface waters are being affected by increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) levels. Little is known about the WFS trends of the seawater partial pressure of carbon dioxide (pCO 2 ) over the last decades; much of the uncertainty stems from lack of data. In order to address some of this uncertainty, approximately 135,000 pCO 2 values collected on 97 research cruises between 1996 and 2016 were analyzed and show that the shelf waters have changed from being a weak sink to weak source of CO 2 to the atmosphere. Further, data was divided into four geographical subregions. Offshore surface waters absorb CO 2 , whereas nearshore surface waters emit CO 2 to the atmosphere. Importantly, pCO 2 of the nearshore seawater has been increasing at a rate approximately 2.5 times faster than atmospheric pCO 2 over the past 20 years. These data indicate that factors in addition to the atmosphere CO 2 are influencing increases in nearshore seawater. Additionally, WFS aragonite saturation state, often used to monitor ocean acidification conditions, shows seasonal and geographic trends, with year-round supersaturated values ranging from 2 to 5.
Key Points:• WFS surface water shows a change from carbon sink to source from 1996 to 2016 • The WFS emits 9.23 Tg C/year, with the south nearshore emitting the most at 9.01 Tg C/year and the north acting as a sink of À1.96 Tg C/year • Shelf water (<40-m isobath) pCO 2 has increased at a rate approximately 2.6 times faster than the atmospheric rate in the past 20 yearsSupporting Information:• Supporting Information S1