Ophthalmologic Aspects of HIV Infection

Johnson, Daniel A.; Jabs, Douglas A.

doi:10.1016/b978-012764051-8/50028-7

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Basic Modelling Concepts1

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2018

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“…Books, tutorials and reviews of epidemiological modelling are plentiful, including guidance for working with models in the context of policy debate. 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 Nevertheless, it is useful to review some essential aspects of all scenario modelling. The aim of mathematical modelling is to first identify the key rules that govern the behaviour of a natural world phenomenon, and then to implement those rules in mathematical relations, so that we can learn more about the phenomenon.…”

Section: Basic Modelling Conceptsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic: A review of the substance and role of models in South Africa

Geffen

Welte

2018

South. Afr. j. HIV med.

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We review key mathematical models of the South African human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic from the early 1990s onwards. In our descriptions, we sometimes differentiate between the concepts of a model world and its mathematical or computational implementation. The model world is the conceptual realm in which we explicitly declare the rules – usually some simplification of ‘real world’ processes as we understand them. Computing details of informative scenarios in these model worlds is a task requiring specialist knowledge, but all other aspects of the modelling process, from describing the model world to identifying the scenarios and interpreting model outputs, should be understandable to anyone with an interest in the epidemic.

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Section: Basic Modelling Conceptsmentioning

confidence: 99%