One Belt One Road: will it increase the gravity between China and Eurasia

Rahman, Nida; Rahman, Mohd Nayyer

doi:10.1108/jitlp-06-2019-0037

Cited by 8 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 7 publications

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“…Literature review [9] studied the impact of US-China trade war on the US soybean futures market. [10] highlighted the influence of China on the Asian region is a huge challenge to USA. It can be a game changer geopolitically for the US economy.…”

Section: Theoretical Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

Mean and volatility spillover in Asian economies: Evidence from trade war

Shafique,

Bhutta

2023

PLoS ONE

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This study aims to assess the mean and volatility spillover due to trade war between US and China on the Asian markets using GARCH, evidencing that portfolio opportunity exists for the investors in these markets. These markets may offer diversification benefits to investors who fear the negative ramifications of stock markets of the economies in US and China. The study creates a composite variable to test the impact of trade war. The composition of the variable is based on Bilateral Tariffs, Trade policy and Economic policy uncertainty of US only. It means the study covers the US side only for creating a trade war variable. The findings of the study reveal no mean or volatility spillover exists. The study has implications for investors and policymakers.

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Section: Theoretical Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

Mean and volatility spillover in Asian economies: Evidence from trade war

Shafique,

Bhutta

2023

PLoS ONE

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“…However, some individual countries have a very negative view. Interestingly, Rahman and Rahman (2019) have argued that the BRI will create gravity between China and Eurasia through a land corridor and to transport and logistics costs minimisation for all the countries involved.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Identifying export opportunities for China in the ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ group of countries: a decision support model approach

Cameron

Cuyvers

et al. 2021

JITLP

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Purpose This paper aims to identify China’s realistic export opportunities (REOs) among the “Belt and Road Initiative” (BRI) group of countries. Design/methodology/approach The methodology used is a decision support model (DSM) that filters data based on country risk; macro-economic country performance; market potential in terms of import growth and import market size; and market access conditions. The high-potential REOs are revealed. Findings Out of the 84 BRI countries, 79 countries represent 42.5% of China’s REOs globally and 26.9% of China’s globally untapped potential value. Interestingly, 17.9% of this untapped potential is in the BRI countries Poland, Austria and the Czech Republic, thus providing a potentially important route into the European Union. Research limitations/implications If China wants to develop additional or new markets, focus should be put on the BRI markets outside of the top 20. China should also invest in the development of most BRI economies, to ensure their future growth and increased demand for import of products and services from China. Practical implications The shortlist of China’s REOs in the individual BRI countries makes for more efficient planning and prioritising of export development activities. It also highlights the need for policymakers to look beyond international trade and focus on how to also improve the domestic economies of the BRI partners. Originality/value To the best of authors’ knowledge, this paper is the first to use the DSM to identify China’s REOs at HS6-digit level within the BRI group. The findings have important implications for China’s export promotion agencies, industry associations and individual companies.

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“…However, some individual countries have a very negative view. Interestingly, (Rahman & Rahman, 2019) have argued that the BRI will create gravity between China and Eurasia through a land corridor and to transport and logistics costs minimization for all the countries involved.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Untitled

2023

SCIENTIFIC WORK

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In the context of COVID-19, international trade has been strongly affected, and it is of great importance to accelerate trade with countries along with the "Belt and Road Initiative" to achieve business transformation. This thesis uses the gravity model to measure export potential based on data from China and Central Asia from 2008 to 2018. In this thesis, we estimate the differences to examine the BRI's effect on China's export potential to Central Asia and other BRI countries along the Belt and Road routes. The results show that China's export potential to Central Asian countries increased significantly after the initiative, especially for product exports in capital-intensive industries. We also distinguished between different regions and saw a much stronger effect for the countries of the Association of Southeast Asian and West Asian Nations.

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One Belt One Road: will it increase the gravity between China and Eurasia

Cited by 8 publications

References 7 publications

Mean and volatility spillover in Asian economies: Evidence from trade war

Mean and volatility spillover in Asian economies: Evidence from trade war

Identifying export opportunities for China in the ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ group of countries: a decision support model approach

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