2022
DOI: 10.1002/ejsp.2858
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On the predicted replicability of two decades of experimental research on system justification: A Z‐curve analysis

Abstract: We examine the predicted replicability of experimental research on system justification theory (SJT) by conducting a z-curve analysis. Z-curve is a meta-analytic technique similar to p-curve, but which performs better under conditions of heterogeneity. It estimates the predicted replication rate, average power, false discovery risk, and file drawer ratio (FDR) of a sample of studies. The z-curve based on 116 papers and 232 unique samples suggests that the experimental SJT literature is likely to show low rates… Show more

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Cited by 13 publications
(10 citation statements)
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References 78 publications
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“…In the long run, 41% (95% CI [28%; 55%]) of the significant results are expected to be significant in replications (ERR). While these numbers may seem low, they are in line with previous applications of the z-curve (see e.g., Maier et al, 2023;Sotola & Credé, 2022;Syrjänen et al, 2021).…”
Section: Application Examplesupporting
confidence: 90%
“…In the long run, 41% (95% CI [28%; 55%]) of the significant results are expected to be significant in replications (ERR). While these numbers may seem low, they are in line with previous applications of the z-curve (see e.g., Maier et al, 2023;Sotola & Credé, 2022;Syrjänen et al, 2021).…”
Section: Application Examplesupporting
confidence: 90%
“…• Inclusion in traditional meta-analyses: With meta-analyses often struggling to include unpublished findings, replications, and null-findings, we believe that the Replication Database as a low-threshold opportunity to publish replication attempts can help researchers find studies that they can include in their meta-analyses and that may correct for the publication bias. • Validation data for bias-correction methods: Methods that predict replication rates or correct meta-analytical effect sizes for publication bias and questionable research practices are often evaluated using simulated data (e.g., Carter et al, 2019) and validations with existing data need to rely on few scattered large-scale projects (e.g., Sotola & Credé, 2022). With the replication database, these proposed methods can easily be tested against a large set of real data.…”
Section: (4) Reuse Potentialmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The idea is that supporting the status quo can satisfy people's basic psychological needs (i.e., epistemic, existential and relational), leading them to endorse attitudes that contradict their groups or self‐interest (for a demonstration, Jost et al., 2003). Like many theories, the research examining SJT's assumptions and predictions is sometimes contradictory (e.g., Brandt, 2013, 2020; Owuamalam et al., 2018; Sotola & Credé, 2022; Trump & White, 2018). Typically, contradicting evidence is counted as evidence against the theory, whereas supporting evidence is counted as evidence in favour of the theory.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…System justification theory postulates that ‘people are motivated to defend, justify and bolster aspects of the status quo, including existing social economic and political systems, institutions and arrangements’ (Jost et al., 2015, p. 321). In support of this assumption, scholars have found, for example, that people engage in biased information processing in support of the system (Hennes et al., 2012) and that criticism of the system elicits defence mechanisms ((Jost & Hunyady, 2005); but see Sotola & Credé, 2022). Further, justifying prevailing systems has many implications for political attitudes and behaviours.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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