On the Expected Comet of 1264 and 1556

Hind,

doi:10.1093/mnras/10.5.123

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The Next Long-period Comet1

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2017

2023

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“…64 Emperor Charles V was reportedly so distressed by the comet's appearance that it convinced him to abdicate the throne. 65 Because of numerous available observations, Halley had been able to determine the orbit of the comet of 1556. To connect it to the comet of 1264, however, further observations of the earlier comet would be required.…”

Section: The Next Long-period Cometmentioning

confidence: 99%

“I Still Continue Convinced”: Expecting the Great Comet of 1848

Carter

2017

Journal for the History of Astronomy

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Historical data play a crucial role in fields such as astronomy, providing accounts of past celestial phenomena that may not be predictable such as the appearance of novae, meteors and comets. Astronomers have made use of such information in their efforts to reconstruct past events; however, the reliability of these data and the willingness of astronomers to accept them have created difficulties. The expected comet of 1848 provides an example of the tendency of astronomers to utilize only the medieval data which fit their preexisting theories while discarding observations that challenged their assumptions. The resulting failure of the predicted comet to appear demonstrates the limitation of this selective use of historical data.

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Section: The Next Long-period Cometmentioning

confidence: 99%