2009
DOI: 10.2307/27784387
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On producing random binary sequences

Abstract: This experiment addressed the opinion prevailing among researchers that people are poor at producing random binary sequences. Participants tried to produce sets of sequences of outcomes of imaginary coin tosses that could not be distinguished statistically from sets expected from actual coin tossing. The results generally support the conclusion that people are not very good at this task, although the distributional properties of the sets of sequences produced are qualitatively similar to those expected of sets… Show more

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Cited by 18 publications
(8 citation statements)
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“…In some experimental versions participants were simply asked to make random choices ( Oomens et al, 2015 ; Sisti et al, 2018 ), others used analogies and mental models to illustrate the concept of randomness, such as the hat analogy, where one imagines to blindly draw pieces of paper with numbers written on them out of a hat, reads them out loud and puts them back in the hat ( Joppich et al, 2004 ). Also often used were die or coin analogies, where the instructions were to report the results of an imagined die ( Knoch et al, 2004 ) or coin toss ( Nickerson and Butler, 2009 ). A different way of instructing has been to encourage unpredictability by avoiding “schemes” or patterns ( Daniels et al, 2003 ).…”
Section: The Role Of Instructions In Randomization Tasksmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…In some experimental versions participants were simply asked to make random choices ( Oomens et al, 2015 ; Sisti et al, 2018 ), others used analogies and mental models to illustrate the concept of randomness, such as the hat analogy, where one imagines to blindly draw pieces of paper with numbers written on them out of a hat, reads them out loud and puts them back in the hat ( Joppich et al, 2004 ). Also often used were die or coin analogies, where the instructions were to report the results of an imagined die ( Knoch et al, 2004 ) or coin toss ( Nickerson and Butler, 2009 ). A different way of instructing has been to encourage unpredictability by avoiding “schemes” or patterns ( Daniels et al, 2003 ).…”
Section: The Role Of Instructions In Randomization Tasksmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Traditionally, randomization performance has been assessed by random sequence generation (RSG) tasks where participants are required to make a series of random choices from a predetermined set of options (see Nickerson, 2002 ). Commonly used choice sets are the digits from 0–9 ( Joppich et al, 2004 ), binary sets, e.g., 0/1 or heads/tails ( Nickerson and Butler, 2009 ), letters A-I ( Jahanshahi and Dirnberger, 1999 ), nouns ( Heuer et al, 2010 ) or symbols on Zener cards ( Sisti et al, 2018 ). However, experimental parameters have varied considerably throughout different RSG versions, including especially the way participants were instructed to be random ( Wagenaar, 1972 ).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Their sequences sometimes avoid long runs of a single outcome, and other regularities (Nickerson, 2002). Occasionally, however, researchers do report an abundance of button repetitions in the sequences (e.g., Neuringer, 1986; Nickerson & Butler, 2009).…”
Section: Renormalization Group Theorymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There is no standardized experimental procedure in RSG studies. Instead RSG has employed a variety of tasks and parameters, such as different numbers of choice options, such as the digits from 0-9 (Joppich et al, 2004), binary sets e.g., 0/1 or heads/tails (Nickerson & Butler, 2009), the letters A-I (Jahanshahi & Dirnberger, 1999), or nouns (Heuer et al, 2010). Another variable task parameter across RSG experiments is the method of instructing participants to be random, which ranges from analogies like drawing numbers from a hat (Jahanshahi et al, 2000), tossing a coin (Nickerson & Butler, 2009) or roll a die (Knoch et al, 2004), via instructing to avoid specific patterns (Azouvi et al, 1996; Daniels et al, 2003) all the way to emphasizing unpredictability (Finke, 1984).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%