Abstract. The wave packet method, one form of the WKB technique, recently has been employed to investigate the evolution of long planetary wave packets in relation to the complex climate variability in the world oceans. However, such a method becomes invalid near the caustics. Here, the Lagrange manifold formalism is used to extend this analysis to include the caustic regions. We conclude that even though the wave packet method fails near the caustics, the equations derived from this method away from caustics are identical to the ones from the Lagrange manifold formalism near caustics.2000 Mathematics Subject Classification. Primary 76B65, 76M45, 86A05.
Introduction.Recently, wave packet theory has been used by Yang [10,11] in two studies to analyze the evolution of long planetary wave packets. In the first study, the evolution of long planetary wave packets in a continuously stratified ocean with exponentially decaying stratification and mean zonal current was considered. The analysis successfully explained all major features of long planetary Rossby waves recently observed in the Topex/Poseidon satellite data in the global ocean. In the second study, the evolution of three-dimensional wave packets in a subtropical gyre was studied. This analysis led to a rudimentary theory for ocean climate variability on the inter-annual to decadal time scale observed in the sea surface height changes and the ocean temperature changes and provided insight of dynamical process of complex ocean climate variability. The ocean response may undergo transition between different regimes. The transition of regime may be one more reason that the observed climate variability in the ocean is so complicated with a variety of time scales between interannual and decadal. These predictions are consistent with observations in the North Pacific and other analytic and numerical model results. These results were also further discussed in [12]. While the focus of each investigation was the development of analytical solutions, wave packet theory enabled an analysis of the structural evolution of the wave packet associated with each setting [9].Wave packet theory is based on the WKB formalism, originally developed for water waves but primarily associated with quantum mechanics [4]. Near caustic or turning points the classical WKB approach is not valid [6], for example, physically in regimes, where the phase velocity of the wave packet coincides with the velocity of the large-scale current. A related approach that does apply in such regimes is the Lagrange manifold formalism developed by Maslov [7] and Arnol'd [1]. Here, we use