2019
DOI: 10.14708/ma.v47i1.6481
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Odds -theorem and monotonicity

Abstract: Given a finite sequence of events and a well-defined notion of events being interesting, the Odds-theorem (Bruss (2000)) gives an online strategy to stop on the last interesting event. It is optimal for independent events. Here we study questions in how far optimal win probabilities mirror monotonicity properties of the underlying sequence of probabilities of events. We make these questions precise, motivate them, and then give complete answers. This note, concentrating on the original Odds-theorem, is element… Show more

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Cited by 4 publications
(1 citation statement)
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“…It is easy to check that this monotonicity property is equivalent to the uni-modality property proved in Bruss [26] (p. 1386, lines 3-12), reference [27]. The latter implies that the optimal rule is a monotone rule in the sense that, once it is optimal to stop on a success at index k, then it is also optimal to stop on a success after index k. (For a convenient criterion for a stopping rule in the discrete setting being monotone, see also Ferguson [28] (p. 49)) .…”
Section: Randomly Delayed Stoppingmentioning
confidence: 83%
“…It is easy to check that this monotonicity property is equivalent to the uni-modality property proved in Bruss [26] (p. 1386, lines 3-12), reference [27]. The latter implies that the optimal rule is a monotone rule in the sense that, once it is optimal to stop on a success at index k, then it is also optimal to stop on a success after index k. (For a convenient criterion for a stopping rule in the discrete setting being monotone, see also Ferguson [28] (p. 49)) .…”
Section: Randomly Delayed Stoppingmentioning
confidence: 83%