Occurrence mechanism and coping paths of accidents of highly aggregated tourist crowds based on system dynamics

Abstract

The safety of highly aggregated tourist crowds is a challenging and important issue. This paper not only provided a comprehensive analysis of the accidents of highly aggregated tourist crowds but also determined the occurrence mechanism and coping paths. Based on the analysis of multiple cases, we found that the variable status of highly aggregated tourist crowds was the result of the interaction of three main elements: multisource pressure, state mutations and management responses. A series of factors interact and result in accidents, and the lack of a management response or a low-quality management response is the root cause of such accidents. A high-quality management response is a basic safety precaution for highly aggregated tourist crowds. Therefore, forming a virtuous circle of multisource pressure, state mutations and management responses is an effective path for coping with accidents.

Benign or disordered development? Assessment and simulation of security of highly aggregated tourist crowds in China

“…If the systems interact with each other well, then the coupling coordination degree has a good status. Improper management of a HATC may create an unsafe environment for tourists [ 39 ]. Namely, when the coupling coordination degree of this system is poor, the system is in a dangerous environment [ 3 ].…”

“…First, we assess and predict the security status of HATCs. Yin et al [ 39 ] qualitatively proposed the occurrence mechanism and coping paths of incidents of HATCs while failed to examine, evaluate, and forecast the safety status of HATCs in different situations. The HATC, as a form of the crowd, is a living system [ 3 , 40 ].…”

“…Second, by comparing the changes of HATC security in different environments, this study provides rich strategies for security management. Scholars suggest that comparing the security status of different scenarios is critical to HATC management [ 39 ]. Therefore, this paper compared and analyzed HATC security in three different places including a mountain, theme park, and night market, which helps to effectively manage HATCs in different situations.…”

Particle Methods Simulations by Kinetic Theory Models of Human Crowds Accounting for Stress Conditions

“…The pioneer approach to safety problems belongs to Helbing and coworkers [15][16][17], while several developments have been recently developed as reported in the bibliography of [8]. A recent research work [18] shows how a systems approach to safety problems can be developed, where a key feature consists in accounting for the connection between local density and stress. Indeed, this is one of the key feature of our paper.…”

“…This effort needs additional work with respect to the development of computational schemes. The systems approach [18], the engineering vision of safety problems [26,27], computer vision and virtual reality [28][29][30], while a deep study of the psychology of crowds [31] can contribute to the assessment of all specific features to be taken into account in the modeling approach and hence in the machine learning design.…”