Observed trends in daily extreme precipitation indices in Aguascalientes, Mexico

Ruíz-Álvarez, Osías; Singh, Vijay P.; Enciso, Juan; Ontiveros-Capurata, Ronald Ernesto; Santos, Carlos Antônio Costa dos

doi:10.1002/met.1838

Cited by 13 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 54 publications

(128 reference statements)

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“…A multiscale approach showed a significant increasing trend in the length of the MSD in the Pacific coast of Nicaragua, Honduras, and Guatemala, with increases estimated to be nearly 20 days per decade [232]. Drying may be one of the key observed climate change impacts for Mexico [233], with increasing trends in the number of consecutive dry days and decreasing trends in rainfall intensity for central Mexico. In contrast, increasing trends for rainfall were detected for north-western Mexico, although this may be attributed in most cases by the PDO [234].…”

Section: Observed Climate Changementioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Perspectives in the Intra–Americas Seas

et al. 2020

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The Intra–Americas Seas region is known for its relevance to air–sea interaction processes, the contrast between large water masses and a relatively small continental area, and the occurrence of extreme events. The differing weather systems and the influence of variability at different spatio–temporal scales is a characteristic feature of the region. The impact of hydro–meteorological extreme events has played a huge importance for regional livelihood, having a mostly negative impact on socioeconomics. The frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events and droughts are often discussed in terms of their impact on economic activities and access to water. Furthermore, future climate projections suggest that warming scenarios are likely to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme events, which poses a major threat to vulnerable communities. In a region where the economy is largely dependent on agriculture and the population is exposed to the impact of extremes, understanding the climate system is key to informed policymaking and management plans. A wealth of knowledge has been published on regional weather and climate, with a majority of studies focusing on specific components of the system. This study aims to provide an integral overview of regional weather and climate suitable for a wider community. Following the presentation of the general features of the region, a large scale is introduced outlining the main structures that affect regional climate. The most relevant climate features are briefly described, focusing on sea surface temperature, low–level circulation, and rainfall patterns. The impact of climate variability at the intra–seasonal, inter–annual, decadal, and multi–decadal scales is discussed. Climate change is considered in the regional context, based on current knowledge for natural and anthropogenic climate change. The present challenges in regional weather and climate studies have also been included in the concluding sections of this review. The overarching aim of this work is to leverage information that may be transferred efficiently to support decision–making processes and provide a solid foundation on regional weather and climate for professionals from different backgrounds.

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Section: Observed Climate Changementioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Perspectives in the Intra–Americas Seas

et al. 2020

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“…Concerning precipitation, the results obtained in the present study were closely related to other investigations [72,74,76] in which precipitation patterns were found to be largely due to oscillations such as PDO and ENSO. Different regions in the center and north of the country present positive precipitation trends, but their statistical significance is very low, and studies such as [40,41] and [77] show that certain areas in northern Mexico have become more humid over the past decades. On the other hand, in states such as Chiapas and Veracruz, located in the country's south, research [36][37][38][39] has reported decreasing precipitation trends, with values of zero precipitation in some cases.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of Anomalies and Trends of Climate Change Indices in Zacatecas, Mexico

Pita-Díaz

Ortega-Gaucin

2020

Climate

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Sufficient evidence is currently available to demonstrate the reality of the warming of our planet’s climate system. Global warming has different effects on climate at the regional and local levels. The detection of changes in extreme events using instrumental data provides further evidence of such warming and allows for the characterization of its local manifestations. The present study analyzes changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the Mexican state of Zacatecas using climate change indices developed by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI). We studied a 40-year period (1976–2015) using annual and seasonal time series. Maximum and minimum temperature data were used, as well as precipitation statistics from the Mexican climatology database (CLICOM) provided by the Mexican Meteorological Service. Weather stations with at least 80% of data availability for the selected study period were selected; these databases were subjected to quality control, homogenization, and data filling using Climatol, which runs in the R programming language. These homogenized series were used to obtain daily grids of the three variables at a resolution of 1.3 km. Results reveal important changes in temperature-related indices, such as the increase in maximum temperature and the decrease in minimum temperature. Irregular variability was observed in the case of precipitation, which could be associated with low-frequency oscillations such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation. The possible impact of these changes in temperature and the increased irregularity of precipitation could have a negative impact on the agricultural sector, especially given that the state of Zacatecas is the largest national bean producer. The most important problems in the short term will be related to the difficulty of adapting to these rapid changes and the new climate scenario, which will pose new challenges in the future.

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“…Concerning precipitation, the results obtained in the present study were highly related to other investigations [67,69,71] in which precipitation patterns were found to be largely due to oscillations such as PDO and ENSO. Different regions in the center and north of the country present positive precipitation trends, but their statistical significance is very low, and studies such as [38,39] and [72] show that certain areas in northern Mexico have become more humid over the past decades. On the other hand, in states such as Chiapas and Veracruz, located in the country's south, research [34][35][36][37] has reported decreasing precipitation trends, with values of zero in some cases.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of Anomalies and Trends of Climate Change Indices in the State of Zacatecas, Mexico

Pita-Díaz¹,

Ortega-Gaucin²

2020

Preprint

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Sufficient evidence is currently available to demonstrate the reality of the warming of our planet's climate system. Global warming has different effects on climate at the regional and local levels. The detection of changes in extreme events using instrumental data provides further evidence of such warming and allows for the characterization of its local manifestations. The present study analyzes changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the Mexican state of Zacatecas using climate change indices developed by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection, Monitoring and Indices (ETCCDI). We studied a 40-year period (1976-2015) using annual and seasonal time scales. Maximum and minimum temperature data were used, as well as precipitation statistics from the Mexican climatology database (CLICOM) provided by the Mexican meteorological service. Weather stations with at least 80% of data availability for the selected study period were selected; these databases were subjected to quality control, homogenization, and data filling using Climatol, which runs in the R programming language. These homogenized series were used to obtain daily grides of the three variables at a resolution of 1.3 km. Results reveal important changes in temperature-related indices, such as the increase in maximum temperature and the decrease in minimum temperature. Irregular variability was observed in the case of precipitation, which could be associated with low-frequency oscillations such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation. The possible impact of these changes in temperature and the increased irregularity of precipitation could have a negative impact on the agricultural sector, especially given that the state of Zacatecas is the largest national bean producer. The most important problems in the short term will be related to the difficulty of adapting to these rapid changes and the new climate scenario, which will pose new challenges in the future.

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Observed trends in daily extreme precipitation indices in Aguascalientes, Mexico

Cited by 13 publications

References 54 publications

Climate Perspectives in the Intra–Americas Seas

Climate Perspectives in the Intra–Americas Seas

Analysis of Anomalies and Trends of Climate Change Indices in Zacatecas, Mexico

Analysis of Anomalies and Trends of Climate Change Indices in the State of Zacatecas, Mexico

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