Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia

Mandić, Mirjam Vujadinović; Vimić, Ana Vuković; Ranković‐Vasić, Zorica; Đurović, Dejan; Ćosić, Marija; Sotonica, Dunja; Nikolić, D.; Djurdjević, Vladimir

doi:10.3390/atmos13060948

Cited by 22 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 30 publications

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“…The Transylvanian vineyards are subjected to an increased risk of spring frost. Similar results were reported for other temperate regions, as in the cases of Hungary [ 36 ], Serbia [ 89 ], southeast England [ 54 ], France [ 90 ], China [ 37 ], and Canada [ 2 ]. PLS-DA analysis suggests a possible reduction in accuracy class predictions based on environmental factors due to natural adaptations more evident in the Pinot Noir assortment and human-induced practices (delayed winter pruning).…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 84%

Evaluating the Chemical Hazards in Wine Production Associated with Climate Change

Nechita

Iordache

Voica

et al. 2023

Foods

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The climate warming trend challenges the chemical risk associated with wine production worldwide. The present study investigated the possible difference between chemical wine profile during the drought year 2012 compared to the post-drought year 2013. Toxic metals (Cd and Pb), microelements (Mn, Ni, Zn, Al, Ba, and Cu), macroelements (Na, Mg, K, Ca, and P), isotopic ratios (87Sr/86Sr and 206Pb/207Pb), stable isotopes (δ18O, δ13C, (D/H)I, and (D/H)II), and climatic data were analyzed. The multivariate technique, correlation analysis, factor analysis, partial least squares–discriminant analysis, and hierarchical cluster analysis were used for data interpretation. The maximum temperature had a maximum difference when comparing data year apart. Indeed, extreme droughts were noted in only the spring and early summer of 2012 and in 2013, which increased the mean value of ground frost days. The microelements, macroelements, and Pb presented extreme effects in 2012, emphasizing more variability in terms of the type of wine. Extremely high Cd values were found in the wine samples analyzed, at up to 10.1 µg/L. The relationship between precipitation and δ18O from wine was complex, indicating grape formation under the systematic influence of the current year precipitation, and differences between years were noted. δ13C had disentangled values, with no differentiation between years, and when coupled with the deuterium–hydrogen ratio, it could sustain the hypothesis of possible adulteration. In the current analysis, the 87Sr/86Sr showed higher values than in other Romanian studies. The temperature had a strong positive correlation with Pb, while the ground frost day frequency correlated with both Pb and Cd toxic elements in the wine. Other significant relationships were disclosed between the chemical properties of wine and climate data. The multivariate statistical analysis indicated that heat stress had significant importance in the chemical profile of the wine, and the ground frost exceeded the influence of water stress, especially in Transylvania.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 84%

Evaluating the Chemical Hazards in Wine Production Associated with Climate Change

Nechita

Iordache

Voica

et al. 2023

Foods

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“…The highest risk originates from increased air temperatures, erratic precipitation patterns and amounts, heat waves, frequent storm and hail events, increased number in dry and tropical days, etc. [2]. In addition, according to farmers' perception, climate change has a negative impact on plant production in Serbia [3].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

AquaCrop Model Performance in Yield, Biomass, and Water Requirement Simulations of Common Bean Grown under Different Irrigation Treatments and Sowing Periods

et al. 2023

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The application of crop growth simulation and water management models will become increasingly important in the future. They can be used to predict yield reductions due to water scarcity and allocate water to ensure profitable crop production. The objective of this research was to calibrate the AquaCrop model for common bean (Faseolus vulgaris L.) grown in temperate climates and to test whether the model can be used for different irrigation strategies to achieve high yield productivity. The model was calibrated using data obtained from two years of experimental research in the Serbian territory of the Syrmia region. There were three sowing periods/plots: I—mid April, II—end of May/beginning of June, and III—third decade of June/beginning of July; and three levels of irrigation/subplots: full irrigation (F) providing 100% of crop evapotranspiration (ETc), mild deficit irrigation (R) at 80% of ETc, and moderate deficit irrigation (S) at 60% of ETc. The results show that the AquaCrop model accurately predicts common bean yield, biomass, canopy cover, and water requirements. The statistical indices of the calibrated dataset, coefficient of determination (R2), normalized root mean square error (NRMSE), mean bias error (MBE), and Willmott agreement index (d) for yield and biomass were: 0.91, 0.99; 6.9%, 11.4%; −0.046, 1.186 and 0.9, 0.89, respectively. When testing three irrigation strategies, the model accurately predicted irrigation requirements for the full and two deficit irrigation strategies, with only 29 mm, 32 mm, and 34 mm more water than was applied for the Fs, Rs, and Ss irrigation strategy, respectively. The AquaCrop model performed well in predicting irrigated yield and can be used to estimate the yield of common bean for different sowing periods and irrigation strategies.

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“…Phenology has an important place in current scenarios of global-change research due to its role in monitoring and predicting the recurrence of life-cycle events [52]. Monitoring phenology, as well as phenological modeling, is of great importance in terms of making decisions about agricultural practices in growing agricultural trees [86,87]. The research on plant phenology in urban environments is the basis for predicting future plant phenology in cities where air temperatures are increasingly altered [88].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adaptability of Prunus cerasifera Ehrh. to Climate Changes in Multifunctional Landscape

Petrov,

Ocokoljić,

Galečić

et al. 2024

Atmosphere

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Urban trees play a vital role in mitigating climate changes, maintaining the sustainability of ecosystems. This study focuses on the assessment of the resilience of cherry plums to climate changes, a fruit-bearing species that offers diverse ecosystem services within multifunctional urban and suburban landscapes. This study examines flowering and fruiting in the context of climate characteristics, expressed through the Day of the Year (DOY), Growing Degree Days (GDDs), and a yield over 17 consecutive years. The results indicate significant shifts in the DOY but not in the GDD, apart from the end of flowering. The onset of flowering was earlier and the end postponed, extending the phenophase by an average of 4 days. The cherry plum’s yield was unaffected by climate changes, including extreme events like a late-spring frost. The stability of the cherry plum was confirmed by the phenological patterns of the bullace (cherry plum and blackthorn hybrid) exhibiting repeated flowering in the warmest year of 2023. The cherry plum is an adaptive species, with a high adaptability to a changing climate and a high resistance to late-spring frosts; thus, it is a favorable choice in urban design and planning, demonstrating resilience to climate shifts and thriving in polluted urban environments. It is especially appreciated for multiple ecosystem services: biodiversity conservation in natural and semi-natural areas, yielding good provisions in challenging environments, and the preservation of ornamental values through an extended flowering phenophase.

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Observed Changes in Climate Conditions and Weather-Related Risks in Fruit and Grape Production in Serbia

Cited by 22 publications

References 30 publications

Evaluating the Chemical Hazards in Wine Production Associated with Climate Change

Evaluating the Chemical Hazards in Wine Production Associated with Climate Change

AquaCrop Model Performance in Yield, Biomass, and Water Requirement Simulations of Common Bean Grown under Different Irrigation Treatments and Sowing Periods

Adaptability of Prunus cerasifera Ehrh. to Climate Changes in Multifunctional Landscape

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