2012
DOI: 10.1029/2012gl052810
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Observed and simulated changes in the Southern Hemisphere surface westerly wind‐stress

Abstract: [1] Changes in the position and strength of the Southern Hemisphere surface westerlies have significant implications for ocean circulation and the global carbon cycle. Here we compare the climatologies, as well as the trends, in the position and strength of the surface westerly wind-stress jet in reanalyses with the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) phase 3 and phase 5 models over the historical period from 1979-2010. We show that both the CMIP3 and CMIP5 models exhibit an equatorward biased climato… Show more

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Cited by 291 publications
(287 citation statements)
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“…Analysis of climate models (which cannot simulate jets in the Southern Ocean) suggests that as the atmosphere warms, the winds that drive the fronts and jets of the ACC will migrate south (e.g., Fyfe and Saenko, 2006;Swart and Fyfe, 2012). It should be noted, however, that the mean position of the Southern Hemisphere westerlies in the models lies significantly equatorward of the true position (e.g., Fig.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 92%
“…Analysis of climate models (which cannot simulate jets in the Southern Ocean) suggests that as the atmosphere warms, the winds that drive the fronts and jets of the ACC will migrate south (e.g., Fyfe and Saenko, 2006;Swart and Fyfe, 2012). It should be noted, however, that the mean position of the Southern Hemisphere westerlies in the models lies significantly equatorward of the true position (e.g., Fig.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 92%
“…Ozone depletion and greenhouse gasses have increased the strength of the Summer Annual Mode (SAM), which in its positive phase contracts the westerly wind belt southwards and increases their velocity. Ironically, these humaninduced changes to the atmosphere have mitigated the southward penetration of global warming around Antarctica (Fyfe et al, 1999;Marshall, 2003;Turner et al, 2009;Swart and Fyfe, 2012). However, the continuing release of greenhouse gasses and the recovery of the ozone hole will inevitably cause future climate-induced warming and ecosystem change in Antarctic waters (Smetacek and Nicol, 2005;Boyd et al, 2008;Constable et al, 2014).…”
Section: Climate-driven Changes To the Southern Oceanmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Late twentieth century instrumental and reanalysis data indicate an acceleration and southward shift of the SWW during austral summer and autumn 5 , contemporaneous with a global warming trend, increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentrations and persistently positive phases of the SAM 6 (also known as the Antarctic Oscillation), the main mode of atmospheric variability in the mid-and high-latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere (SH; Supplementary Discussion). This atmospheric trend has been attributed to human-induced changes in atmospheric chemistry during the twentieth century 7 .…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%