2019
DOI: 10.1088/1742-6596/1181/1/012013
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Observation of a time lag in solar modulation of cosmic rays in the heliosphere

Abstract: The solar modulation effect of Galactic cosmic rays is a time-dependent phenomenon that is caused by the transport of these particles through the magnetized plasma of the heliosphere. Using a data-driven model of cosmic-ray transport in the heliosphere, in combination with a large collection of data, we report the evidence for a eight-month time lag between observations of solar activity and measurements of cosmic-ray fluxes in space. As we will discuss, this result enables us to forecast the cosmic ray flux a… Show more

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Cited by 4 publications
(4 citation statements)
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References 46 publications
(80 reference statements)
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“…Firstly, there is a delay in the modulation of cosmic rays, and therefore of the CRAND process that fills in the inner belts with protons, by the Sun. It takes a few months for the effects of the Sun's high activity and hence intense magnetic field to be felt at the heliopause (Orcinha et al., 2019; Tomassetti et al., 2017). Another thing is that depending on the satellite altitude and the energy of the measured proton, its lifetime against absorption by the atmosphere is shorter or longer.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Firstly, there is a delay in the modulation of cosmic rays, and therefore of the CRAND process that fills in the inner belts with protons, by the Sun. It takes a few months for the effects of the Sun's high activity and hence intense magnetic field to be felt at the heliopause (Orcinha et al., 2019; Tomassetti et al., 2017). Another thing is that depending on the satellite altitude and the energy of the measured proton, its lifetime against absorption by the atmosphere is shorter or longer.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The value of B 0 is provided by the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE), while the tilt angle and polarity are provided by the Wilcox Solar Observatory (WSO), represented by solid lines in the two top panels. It takes time for the change in the magnetic field that embedded in the solar wind to affect the motion of GCR, typically around nine months, which is referred to as the time lag Tomassetti et al (2017); Orcinha et al (2019). Considering that, we calculate the average field and tilt angle encountered by GCR particles during their journey from heliopause to Earth, as represented by the square symbol.…”
Section: The Model Parametersmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The change in the magnetic field that is embedded in the solar wind typically takes about 9 months to affect the motion of GCRs. This delay is referred to as the time lag (Tomassetti et al 2017;Orcinha et al 2019). Considering that, we calculate the average field and tilt angle encountered by GCR particles during their journey from HP to Earth, as represented by the square symbol.…”
Section: The Model Parametersmentioning
confidence: 99%